Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction Game Preview

Mississippi State vs Auburn How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 28
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
How To Watch: SEC Network
2023 Record: Mississippi State (4-3), Auburn (3-4)
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Mississippi State vs Auburn Game Preview

Why Mississippi State Will Win

Auburn’s offense isn’t exactly a well-oiled machine.

It starts with an offensive line that’s having issues in pass protection and has been just okay for the ground game. It all leads to the biggest problem - the Tigers just aren’t moving the chains.

They’ve been awful on third downs, they’re not going on enough long marches, and the passing attack is dead last in the SEC. It’s not like the team has been getting rolled in every game, but it can’t come up with the right play or drive in the key moments.

That will all suit Mississippi State just fine because …

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Why Auburn Will Win

Mississippi State has hit a wall.

It won two in a row, but the pass defense struggled in the win over Western Michigan, and the offense didn’t show up in the puzzling 7-3 win over Arkansas. The ground game isn’t good enough, the passing game is all over the place, and like it is for Auburn, third down conversions are like pulling teeth.

Yes, Auburn is having a hard time in this four game losing streak, but it’s not like there’s a dud in the bunch - at Texas A&M, Georgia, at LSU, Ole Miss - and the Tigers held their own against everyone but LSU.

Just hit the short range passes. Auburn is having a rough time even getting to the 60% mark passing, but Mississippi State has allowed a 70% completion rate in five of the seven games, and …

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Mississippi State vs Auburn Who Will Win

Mississippi State is 0-3 when allowing teams to get to 74% passing, 4-0 when it doesn’t. Auburn isn’t going to get to 74% passing, but it’ll be far sharper than it’s been over the last month.

Be shocked if this isn’t a grind. It might not be the MSU-Arkansas game in terms of yuck, but this will hardly be a back-and-forth firefight.

Auburn won’t be perfect, but this is the first time it’s playing an SEC team it’s supposed to beat.

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Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction, Line

Auburn 23, Mississippi State 17
Line: Auburn -6.5, o/u: 43.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
Must See Rating (out of 5): 3

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