Texas Tech at Texas Prediction, Preview, Odds, How To Watch

Texas Tech at Texas How To Watch

Date: Friday, November 24
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: DKR Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
How To Watch: ABC
Record: Texas Tech (6-5), Texas (10-1)
Pete Fiutak on X | CFN on X
College Football News on Facebook
Pete Fiutak on Threads | CFN on Threads

Texas Tech at Texas Game Preview

Why Texas Tech Will Win

The pressure is off, sort of.

There’s always pressure to beat Texas, but the Red Raiders did it. They’re 3-5 after a loss to a mediocre BYU, the season wasn’t going anywhere, and then …

The passing game clicked. Behren Morton and the midrange passing game got hot, the turnovers that were such a killer slowed to crawl, and TCU, Kansas, UCF - three straight wins, bowl eligibility, now it’s time to play giant killer.

The Red Raiders can screw up Texas before it goes off to the SEC by keeping it out of the College Football Playoff. How does they do that? Keep the offensive balance going.

It’s not that Morton is bombing away for 400 yards, it’s about the completion percentage. Texas is No. 1 in the nation in third down defense, but Texas Tech has the ability to be at least okay on the money downs. It converts 40% of its tries overall and has been better than 30% nine times.

Texas only allowed two teams to convert better than 30% of their third down tries. Oklahoma (loss), and Alabama (win, but Alabama).

- CFN Rankings By Conference
- 5 Top Heisman Candidates

Why Texas Will Win

Texas has been awfully flirty with disaster over the last few games, but finds a way to get it done.

Kansas State, TCU, even Iowa State late last week in a 26-16 win - this team is hardened by good battles. It’s finding ways to come through with the big plays at the right times to get the job done.

Yes, Texas Tech should be able to complete at least 65% of its passes against a Texas pass D that gave up 300 yards or more in each of the last three games, but it’s the running game that hurts this bunch.

Oklahoma ran for over 200 yards, and it still needed a last second play to get the win. Wyoming made a push running for 155 yards, and Kansas and Alabama each got over 100, but that’s it. No one else has been able to run on the UT D.

Texas Tech has the balance, but the Longhorns will take their chances with the mid-range passes and will sell out against the run. Iowa State was able to throw well, and ended up with nine net yards rushing.

Texas Tech has to average around five yards per carry. Kansas is the only team to get there on Texas.

- CFN Rankings 1 to 133
- Bowl Projections: Week 13
- New Year's Six Bowl Projections
- College Football Playoff Projections

Texas Tech at Texas Who Will Win

Texas has to win this to get into the Big 12 Championship and it could use an impressive blowout to generate more College Football Playoff buzz.

Don’t buy into the idea that the committee doesn’t use eye-test all that much. Looks matter now, but Texas Tech has a way of keeping games close. It fought Oregon - and probably should’ve won - but it hasn’t faced Oklahoma or Oklahoma State, lost by 17 to Kansas State, and now it gets an ultra-motivated Texas at home.

- Week 13 Schedule, Previews, Predictions

Texas Tech at Texas Prediction, Odds

Texas 37, Texas Tech 20
Line: Texas -12.5, o/u: 53.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Must See Rating (out of 5): 3

Rivalry Week Experts Picks
Ole Miss at Miss St | TCU at Oklahoma
Iowa at Nebraska | Missouri at Arkansas
Texas Tech at Texas | Penn St at Mich St
Oregon St at Oregon | Ohio St at Michigan
Kentucky at Louisville | Texas A&M at LSU
Alabama at Auburn | Arizona at Arizona St
BYU at Oklahoma St | Wisconsin at Minn
Wash St at Washington | Fla St at Florida
Notre Dame at Stanford | Ga at Ga Tech
Clemson at So Carolina | UNC at NC St
Iowa St at Kansas St | Cal at UCLA