Thanks to a stunning win over Toledo, Buffalo is still sort of alive in the MAC title chase, but it has to win its last two games - it gets Kent State next; that’s a win - and needs a ton of tie-breaker help.
No matter what, though, it’s been a great first season under Pete Lembo with six wins and bowl eligibility, Now it’s time to try playing the spoiler role - or, at least, ruin Senior Day for Eastern Michigan.
The Eagles are out of the MAC Championship run, but it needs just one more win to get bowl eligible.
It’s been sitting on five victories for almost a month, and now on a three-game losing streak it needs to come pull this off or the season comes down to a date at Western Michigan with both teams - in this case - fighting for a bowl game.
Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan: How to Watch and Game Preview
Date: Wednesday, November 20, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET
How To Watch: ESPNU
Venue: Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, MI
Teams: Eastern Michigan (5-5), Buffalo (6-4)
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Why Buffalo Will Win
So where has it all gone so wrong for Eastern Michigan? The turnovers haven’t helped with four against Ohio, the offense has been too erratic, and the defense can’t seem to come up with a key stop.
Buffalo’s passing game has picked up over the last month, but when the running game is rolling everything else falls into place.
The Bulls are 5-1 when running for more than 126 yards, Eastern Michigan has allowed that many or more against everyone but winless Kent State, St. Francis from the FCS, and a Jacksonville State team that threw in the loss. But …
Why Eastern Michigan Will Win
Buffalo doesn’t do anything to control the clock.
It moves with a good pace and the balance is good, but it gets dominated in the time of possession battle. Eastern Michigan is great at controlling the tempo, and it starts with getting the running game going again.
The Eagles are 5-1 when running for more than 121 yards, but against Buffalo - because it helps in the control battle - getting to 200 matters. UB is 0-4 when allowing over 200 yards on the ground, 6-0 when it doesn’t, and …
Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan: Who Will Win?
Eastern Michigan isn’t that great at grinding out the run. The only team it got to 200 on is Kent State.
Again, EMU has the incentive and should play up a little bit, and Buffalo is massively inconsistent.
Yes, Eastern Michigan is on a losing streak - you don’t lose to Akron if everything is okay - but it in the run were Miami University, Toledo, and Ohio.
Buffalo is a step down from those three. It won’t be pretty, but the Eagles will take it.
Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan Prediction, Betting Lines
Prediction: Eastern Michigan 37, Buffalo 34
Line: Eastern Michigan -1, o/u: 50.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Must See Rating: 2.5