Win Total 7.5
ATS PICK Over
The University of Iowa is going to win at least seven college football games, because that’s what the University of Iowa does.
Under head coach Kirk Ferentz, when was the last time the Hawkeyes won fewer than seven regular season games?
Not counting the 2020 outlier – and even then, Iowa went 6-2 in an eight game season – you have to go back to 2012 and the 4-8 clunker for the last time the program didn’t get to at least seven regular season wins. Before that it was 2007.
So again, not counting 2020, Iowa hasn’t hit the seven-win regular season mark just four times over the last 20 years.
Last year’s team managed to win ten regular season games, and that was without any semblance of a passing game, to go along with an uncharacteristically miserable year from the offensive line.
This year’s team has another loaded defense, and there’s no way, no how the offense can be that miserable again.
The road game at Ohio State is an almost certain loss, and everything else is in play.
Michigan comes to Iowa City. So does Wisconsin. So do Iowa State, Nebraska, and Northwestern. Road games at Rutgers and Illinois are more than manageable, and it’s not asking for the world to get at least a split against Minnesota and Purdue away from Iowa City.
Again, it’ll take an outlier of a season for Iowa to not get to at least seven wins. That’s your backstop – at historically worst, you’ll get a push.