Win Total 8
ATS PICK Over
The Army team of last year that won eight regular season games – nine overall with a win over Missouri in the Armed Forces Bowl – returns experienced and potentially stronger.
But last year’s team was great and won just eight games. It might seem like a heavy lift – even for Army – however, there’s no road game against Wisconsin on this year’s schedule, the Ball State loss was weird, and while the Navy game is always a toss-up, that’s definitely a misfire that could swing the other way this time around.
The nice part about the total being at 8 is the backstop. The Black Knight might lose four games, but it’s going to take something funky to lose five or more.
At Coastal Carolina and at Wake Forest. Those are the only two games Army will likely be the underdog.
UTSA, Georgia State, Air Force – being played in Arlington, Texas – at Troy, and the showdown against Navy in Philadelphia. Those are the 50/50 games with everything else almost certain.
So figure there’s a base of five wins – be absolutely floored if Army loses to Villanova, Colgate, ULM, UConn, or at UMass – with at least three wins likely out of those five relatively even games.
If all goes according to plan, Army is closer to being a ten-win team than dealing with a 7-5 grind.