5 best predictions for college football bowl games – Monday, December 20 through Friday, December 24. What games appear to be the best bets and the best picks?
Results So Far ATS: 85-67-2
One massive miscalculation later …
I blame missing EVERYTHING against the spread during an epically bad Saturday on the stress and strain of having to scramble to find ESPN after the YouTube TV/Disney kerfuffle, and …
I can’t blame this on multi-billion conglomerates. It was all my fault for totally whiffing on the belief that Conference USA was going to get rim-rocked this bowl season – except, of course, for my pick of Marshall to cover against Louisiana. (It didn’t.)
Picking bowl games takes a different skill set from the regular season. Logic, reason, and normal rules don’t always apply – hello, Jackson State and BYU.
So I’m done with you, Conference USA. You win.
I’m staying away from the against the spread calls of Old Dominion vs Tulsa in the Myrtle Beach Bowl (I like Tulsa -9, of course), UTSA vs San Diego State in Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl (I like SDSU -2.5, of course), and Miami University vs North Texas in the Frisco Football Classic (I like MU, of course).
I always stick with my picks, I take my beating, and then I move on. But there were things that have gone the right was so far.
The point totals went just fine over the first several games, so I’m mostly going with those for these bowls during the week before Christmas.
Pray for me.
Click on each game for the preview
5. Missouri vs Army: Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
LINE Army -6.5
ATS PICK Missouri
Oh, I am well aware that you pick against Army at your own risk.
I’m an adult, I take responsibility for my own actions, and I will almost always take my chances with an SEC team over a Group of Five-level team.
Especially if that SEC team is getting points.
Yeah, I’m still smarting from going hard on San Diego State and its amazing defense in the 2017 Armed Forces Bowl – and then Army won.
Yeah, I’m still smarting from going hard on Houston in what should’ve been an easy in in the 2018 Armed Forces Bowl – and then Army won 70-14.
Yeah, I’m still smarting from going hard on West Virginia against the spread in the 2020 Liberty Bowl – and Army lost, but only by three.
Army is 4-1 in its last five bowl games from 2010 on, but there’s a strange part to that. None of the four bowl wins were against Power Five programs, and Army didn’t actually beat West Virginia last year.
In fact, Army hasn’t beaten a Power Five program since the win over Duke in 2017. Before that you have to go back to a 2012 win over Boston College.
I’m fully aware – and love – what Army does, and I know bowls go against what we all believe in our core to be true, but you’re getting points here. You’re not even asking the Power Five team to win big.