5 Best NCAA Tournament Predictions Against The Spread, Point Total: Sweet 16

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

5 Best NCAA Tournament Predictions Against The Spread, Point Total: Sweet 16

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5 Best NCAA Tournament Predictions Against The Spread, Point Total: Sweet 16

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3. (1) Gonzaga vs (5) Creighton, Part 1

POINT TOTAL: 158
PICK: Over
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Even if it doesn’t work out, you want nothing to do with this game if you take the under on the 158.

That’s a big number no matter what, but Gonzaga will take care of most of the heavy lifting on its own.

The Bulldogs score, and then they score some more, and then when their bench guys come in, they score. However, there’s a bit of a concern that they’ll keep scoring and it still won’t be enough – the Oklahoma game was 87-71, getting to 158 on the mark.

But you don’t care.

Gonzaga is more likely to hit 90 than it is 70.

Out of the 28 games so far this season, the Bulldogs didn’t get to 80 just three times and scored 90 or more in 16 games. It hung over 100 five times including a buck and some change against Kansas.

Creighton can throw a little bit of D out there, but it’s not winning this in any sort of a slugfest. If it’s able to pull this off, it’ll be because of the threes dropping in an up-and-down game with both teams trading big blows.

Assume at least 85 from Gonzaga, assume at least 70 from Creighton, and assume a late layup getting you over the top.

And, of course …

NEXT: Gonzaga vs Creighton, Part 2

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