LINE: Seattle -3
ATS PICK: Seattle
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Sometimes you have to make a pick because it’s the right thing to do.
You never, ever, ever, ever, ever go against a streak. If you go with it, and somehow things work the other way, you tip your cap and you move on. Otherwise, keep playing the streak until it stops.
Start with this – Seattle has won its last ten playoff home games going back to 2005.
Two problems with that, of course. The first is that it’s a straight up streak and not against the spread, and second, the whole 12th man, crowd-as-loud-as-sticking-your-head-in-a-jet-engine thing was a key part of it all. Neither of those things matter here.
However, what does matter is a Seattle team that made a few key tweaks and now seems to have figured out how to play a little bit of defense again. It was able to all but shut down the Rams a few weeks ago in a 20-9 win.
The other thing you like here is the line drop. Jared Goff was always going to play – at least, he might play, he should play, he could play – but his injured thumb caused the line to hang around Seahawks -5 for way too long, and then it dropped to -3. You’re getting a bargain mostly because of a video that showed Goff throwing without his hand falling off.
It’s this simple. Turnovers. Seattle is 0-4 this season when turning it over multiple times, and 12-0 when it doesn’t.
The Rams have forced two turnovers total in the last four games.