5 Best Bet NFL Predictions: Conference Championships

Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

5 Best Bet NFL Predictions: Conference Championships

College Football Predictions

5 Best Bet NFL Predictions: Conference Championships

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2. Most Passing Yards By A QB

MOST PASSING YARDS (just counting the four starters): Patrick Mahomes +180, Josh Allen +210, Tom Brady +350, Aaron Rodgers +350
PICK: Josh Allen +210
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Oh, but Tom Brady is SO tempting.

There’s no talking you out of it if you believe TB12 will finish with the most passing yards among the four starting quarterbacks. He’s been on a tear with well over 300 yards in three of the last five games, and the main reason he didn’t do much more than the 206 against New Orleans was because he didn’t have to.

Oh, but Aaron Rodgers is SO tempting.

There’s no talking you out of it if you believe the soon-to-be 2021 MVP. Actually, yeah there is. At least one of the four quarterbacks will throw for over 300 yards, and Rodgers hasn’t thrown for over three bills since the Week 11 win over Indianapolis. Tampa Bay has only allowed over 300 passing yards once since Week 12.

Oh, but Patrick Mahomes is SO tempting.

Look, if he’s playing he’s throwing. However, how much will he be bombing away and how much will the gameplan protect him? Also, he hasn’t thrown for more than 280 yards since Week 14 against Miami, and Kansas City games have been relatively low-scoring lately. Yeah, he was on fire against Cleveland before getting hurt, but …

Josh Allen is the call.

The Chief pass defense is solid, but it’s also about to get bombed on. Buffalo sort of has a running game it likes to piece together, but Kansas City was able to clog up the far stronger Cleveland rushing attack.

Allen only threw for 206 yards against Baltimore, but that was a far different type of game than this will be. He threw for 320 yards or more in four of the six games before that, and even if the Bills lose, he’s got the best shot to at least get to 300 yards. At +210, that’s decent value.

And finally …

NEXT: AFC Championship: Buffalo at Kansas City

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