College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 9

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 9

Fearless Predictions

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 9

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6:00 – 7:30 ET Gametimes

The Air Force running game could work against Boise State, and it still might not matter all that much. The world was all over the Broncos from the start, with the line going up from -8 to -14 almost instantly, and that matters. The Falcons might just control things enough to keep this within two touchdowns.
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Really? You’re giving Mike Leach and the SEC’s No. 1 defense 31 points against Alabama? Mississippi State has been awful offensively, and Bama should win easily, but of course you’re taking the 31 on general principle alone.
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Is there reason to be scared away from New Mexico – who didn’t play last week – after Colorado State plopped in its opener against Fresno State on Thursday night? It’s going to be as well-coached as any team in the conference with Rocky Long handling the D and Danny Gonzales a promising new head man, but San Jose State will win. The 13.5, though, is too rich.
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Duke is the Power Five program, and Charlotte isn’t. Duke might be awful, it might be losing several key parts, and Charlotte isn’t bad, but the -10 is almost a token line. If you’re going one way, go with the team that might just flex it’s bigger-league muscle.
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I don’t like that the Penn State line vs. Ohio State is dropping. The Nittany Lions +12 with that defense was a nice idea and a theoretical good play, but people started to go with it. The line started at Buckeyes -8, was in not the Nittany Lions at the 12, and now forget it at 10. Penn State has a great D, but Ohio State is so much more talented.
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Missouri just isn’t that bad. It doesn’t have enough in the defensive bag to hold down Kyle Trask and the Florida attack, but the Gator D hasn’t shown nearly enough to get too excited about grabbing the home favorite. The public pushed the line down from Florida -15 to -13, and now it’s about right to like the favorite. That two touchdown threshold makes a difference.
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The SMU line vs. Navy settled in nicely. The Mustangs should be a two touchdown favorite at home, and the line dropped from -16 down to -12.5. Navy’s defense hasn’t showed enough pop to keep this close if the Mustangs get hot early.
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