College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 7

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 7

Fearless Predictions

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 7

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I chronically underestimate Louisiana Tech, but this Marshall team might just be a special brand of Conference USA awesome, especially on defense. It’s No. 1 in the nation allowing 21 points in three games, so even though you’re going over on the 50 – because, you just are – tread lightly.
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As a warning, the next time I get this North Carolina thing right will be the first time. Eventually, Florida State will realize it’s a good team trapped in a horrible team’s body, but not this week. How about this? North Carolina, if you really are the fifth-best team in college football – which it so is NOT – then you truck this FSU team by two touchdowns with ease.
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I’m going to keep picking against you, UTEP, and you’re going to keep making me look silly – and I’m glad. You deserve to have some fun as a program, but … okay, I want in. Give me you, you Miners, +6.5 at home against Southern Miss, and I might even flirt with the +200 on the money line, too.
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Wait, I’m Mr. Virginia Tech. I’m the one saying all offseason to watch out for that late-season Clemson date in Blacksburg, and I’m carrying the water for a team that, once it’s healthy, is probably the third best team in the ACC behind Clemson and Notre Dame. Giving up 12, though, to a really, really interesting Boston College team seems like asking a whole lot.

By the way, if you have any sort of a hankering on BC, that +375 is the money line value pick of the weekend.
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And finally …

This could be the first of three matchups between Alabama and Georgia – which is part of the reason why there’s NO buzz whatsoever around No. 2 vs. No. 3 on a national scale.

As I’m writing this, BetMGM still has the line at Alabama -6 over Georgia, even though it dropped to 4.5 just about everywhere else. It opened at 5, and even if Nick Saban was healthy and on the sidelines, I sort of thought the money would be coming in on the Bulldogs to get it down to around 3.5ish around game time.

Even if Saban is able to come back into the on-field coaching mix, Steve Sarkisian is a veteran who knows how to fly the plane, which is why I despise the idea of taking Bama to win but Georgia to cover on just 4.5 – at 6 it seemed a bit more likely. However, considering I think Kirby Smart’s guys could pull this off outright, I still like it.

Georgia at +180 on the money line is a fantastic call if you think this defense is the real deal. Considering I’m sticking with the idea that the Dawgs cover, asking them to win this outright isn’t a huge leap.
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