College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 6

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 6

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College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 6

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We don’t know what we’re getting with Temple. We do know we’re getting a whole lot of bad with Navy. Why sure … let’s pay the 3.5 points with Temple to find out what this thing is in the Owl season-opener.
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You know there’s a problem when you’re way too hung up on a half a point. I truly believe there’s a good football team somewhere inside both USF and East Carolina just waiting to come out, but that half on the USF on the 4.5 has me thrown for some reason. That means you go with ECU to potentially win outright, but it’s been so bad this year and USF can run, so go USF, but … this is one of the week’s biggest toss-ups.
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Part of this whole thing is to know when to stay away when you don’t have a definitive call on something. That changes now with …

Clemson, -14 over Miami. Pass go, collect the $200, and move on. If Miami pulls this off or looks solid and covers, be happy as a football fan. The ACC needs more good teams, and it needs more storylines – it needs a good Miami. I’m rooting for the story of the Hurricanes, but I know Clemson in a big regular season game when it’s supposed to feel threatened. This won’t be a total wipeout, but it’s Clemson at home when people care. You know how this works.
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Ole Miss scares the hell out of me against Alabama. I don’t think the Lane Train is pulling out of the station with a win, but this Tide team hasn’t gone full throttle yet for a full four quarters, and this just screams backdoor cover as Matt Corral and the Rebel passing game keep on bombing away. This should follow the pattern of Bama games so far – get up fast, end it by halftime, set it to cruise control. That’s a problem on the road with 24 points being given away.
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It’s just not in me to give away three touchdowns to Florida State, ever. Notre Dame destroyed USF, but it’s been several weeks since it’s been able to play. Meanwhile, FSU made a quarterback change, it finally woke up and got the O going against Jacksonville State, and the talent really is there to … yeah, I know. Go Irish -21.
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It’s just not in me to go with UTEP and the points, ever. I know the Miners might have figured something out with the win over ULM, and I know they’re 3-1 and better than they’ve been over the last few years, and I know Louisiana Tech hasn’t exactly shown up for the 2020 season, and I know 15 points are a lot, and I know UTEP is going to get trucked.
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I despise everything about the win-not-cover call when the line is at 7 or under, but WKU could win at home outright over Marshall. At the very least – even though there’s a TON of Herd love out there with the line going from -2 up to over a touchdown in some places – this is going to be a low-scoring game played in the 20s. Be shocked if this is a wipeout.
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As your friend, I’m going to say this with love. You’re batspit, next-level, roided-up euphoria insane if you mess around with Mississippi State at Kentucky. This is a desperate Wildcat team, this is typical Flaky McFlakerson Mike Leach team, and the 2.5 the Bulldogs are giving away on the road don’t matter. You could say this will be Kentucky 45-10, you could say it’s Mississippi State 45-40, you could say any predicted score and have a good argument.
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And finally, because this is such a strange week with so many coin-flip calls, I’ll go hard on this last one – even though I do think it’ll be a blast of a fight. North Texas isn’t stopping the Charlotte passing game. 49ers -3, over on the 67.5, and I’ll see you next week.
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