College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 5

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 5

Fearless Predictions

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 5

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1:00 to 4:00 ET Gametimes

I am floored the Texas A&M-Alabama line isn’t higher. Wait for it a bit – people are going to start hammering the hell out of the Tide up until game time to get that way up from the 18. The last few meetings between these two haven’t been total wipeouts – Bama by 24 last year, 22 in 2018, and 8 in 2017.  See if you can hold on until this gets up to 20.

Oh, and by the way. In this weirdest of all years, as long as you go lowwwwww – A&M +800 on the money line is out there.
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Gut-feeling time – and who doesn’t love that in their high-quality, researched investing analysis – Boston College is way better than it showed in the close call against Texas State. North Carolina went up from -13 to -14, it’s been a long, long while since the team played, and it wasn’t exactly razor sharp in the 31-6 win over Syracuse.

So … 1) if you’re interested in BC +14, I’m not going to stop you. 2) If you line BC +425 on the money line, I’m not going to stop you. 3) I sort of like NC in this, but not until it pulls away late, if that helps anything.
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I’m so done getting my butt kicked by picking against Cincinnati ATS. The line is going down and USF is getting up 21 now after it was up around 23 for a while, but whatever. The Bearcats are just that good.
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Either Oklahoma State actually sucks and this weird, sluggish start isn’t just about the team getting up and going, and/or Kansas is just a whole other level of Kansas-bad that we haven’t enjoyed yet over the years. Let’s just put it this way. If Oklahoma State can’t be this Kansas team by more than 22, then it really is mediocre at college football this year.
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This Memphis – SMU thing has been screwy. The books haven’t been all that interested in posting the lines – because of the COVID issues around the Tigers – but -2 is a bit of an insult. SMU is just okay, so go with what you know – Memphis is the better team, If forces beyond all control push things the other way, so be it.
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You’re insane if you’re diving in hard on anything Big 12 related this year. The Kansas State-2.5 line against Texas Tech feels like a big-time trap to get you to go with the home side. Fall for said trap.
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There’s a big, giant, screaming part of me that thinks Florida Atlantic shows up and hangs 52 on the board against Charlotte. The actual on-the-record prediction on the site is much closer, but that was back when I was young and more responsible. I always lock in the picks and don’t change them, but if I was more fun, I’d suggest the idea that Willie Taggart’s club is going to come out with a big bag of awesome.
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What’s the line? If someone shows you who they are, believe them – all forgiveness if I biffed that. Duke has shown us who it is – it’s a turnover machine. Ticked that the line rocketed up from Virginia -10 to -12 – and 12.5 in some places – but until Duke shows us it’s someone else …
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I want NOTHING to do with this Ole Miss – Kentucky thing. It started out at UK -7, now it’s at 6, and it’s been hanging around at 6.5. I don’t have a read on this thing at all, and even Ole Miss at +185 on the money line isn’t enticing enough.
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