College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 4

Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 4

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College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 4

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Torn on Liberty-FIU. Liberty should be able to tear up FIU if QB Malik Willis and the running game can work like it did against WKU, but everything clicked in that game and it was still close. If you have to, like Liberty giving up 7.5, but this is hardly a rock-solid lock. FIU is an unknown-unknown. 
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Until LSU can prove to you and the rest of the world that it really can reload and be amazing, don’t jump in head first. It’s a home game for the defending national champs against Mississippi State, but are you really 16.5 points sure that Mike Leach’s team full of veterans can’t handle itself? Last year was a 36-13 LSU win – the Bulldogs can close that gap.
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Don’t get hung up on Texas obliterating a miserable UTEP team, but get freaked that Texas Tech struggled with Houston Baptist. Always take the opening games of seasons with 12 grains of salt, but until Texas clunks, giving away 17.5 – it’s still coming down from 19 – isn’t bad.
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Army, Army, Army, Army, Army. Cincinnati is good, and it’ll win, and it would’ve been nice to get that extra half point for Army as the line went down from UC -14 to -13.5. No matter. Like the points, and think long and hard about the Knights and that +425 money line. Speaking of money lines …
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Was Oklahoma State’s putrid performance against Tulsa an aberration? West Virginia at +200 might be worth it on the money line to find out. The +6.5 the Mountaineers are getting aren’t enough to get excited. It went up, but 7.5 gets a little more attention, if it happens.
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ULM has been miserable so far, but on general principle, go against UTEP even if it’s getting ten points. This line rocketed up instantly from ULM -6, and it still might be a touchdown too light.
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Are you really that sure that the Georgia offense is going to start blowing up? Arkansas might not be great, but it’s experienced, it’s at home, and it has the energy of a new head coach. Even so, the line shot up from 24.5 to 28.5 – that’s a whole lot to give away, even in what should be an ugly mismatch. Throw in the potential quarterback issues, and I’m almost tempted to politely ask you to consider the Hogs. Almost. If you have to get in on this, go with the Dawgs, but see if you can get it under the four touchdown mark.
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Have you seen Duke yet? It’s been awful, but we don’t yet know what Virginia is. The line went from Cavaliers -9 to -5 – you’re fine either way. Take the shot that Duke is one of those teams that showed you who they are, and you might have to believe them.
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