College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 1

Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 1

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College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts: Week 1

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Warning, I’m jumping to a big conclusion here. The service academies are going to be sharper than their respective opponents early on. Army’s offense will be solid, and Middle Tennessee has the pop to hang around, but 55 total seems awfully high. It’s been hovering around 56 at some places, but this feels like it’ll be played in the 20s.
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I know you don’t want to hear this – it’s the Monday night game and you’re looking for something to do – and I know I just told you I like the service academies, but stay away from BYU and Navy.

Navy’s at home, it should be the crisper team of the two, and and it’s getting 1.5 – that spread isn’t enough to matter.

I love that someone went large with a $110,000 ticket on the Cougars, but this isn’t one of those games to feel all that confident about. You could have your reasons to take BYU, and you could actually be right in terms of Xs and Os, and Navy could end up holding the ball for 41 minutes to screw it all up.

Also, stay far, far away from the total. It came down hard from 55 to 49.5. It was shaky to go over at the 55, and the 49.5 – or 50 at some places – is right around where it should be.

If you HAVE to, go over – but you’ve been warned.
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Keep and eye on that SMU-Texas State total. I’ll believe the Texas State offense can put up points when it actually happens – it got past 21 just three times last season. The 47-17 loss to SMU last year might be what helped bring the total down from 71.5 to 69.

I liked the under on this from the start – again, I don’t believe in Texas State – but SMU has the offense to turn the lights out fast and carry most of the weight on its own.

The Mustangs -22 isn’t a big ask, and see if that total dips another half point or so. This should be played right around the 70 mark, and if you want this, every little bit here will matter.
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