1. College Football News Preview 2020: Baylor Bears Win Total Prediction, What Will Happen
Baylor might have had a wonderful 11-3 season, and it might have come this close to beating Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship and going to the College Football Playoff – where it would’ve been annihilated by LSU by 50 points – but it also had a relatively easy slate.
Yeah, it beat Texas and was great against Oklahoma State, but seven of the 11 wins came against teams that didn’t go bowling.
Five of the first seven games this year are against teams that didn’t go to a bowl.
There might be a whole slew of new parts to the mix – especially on defense – under new head coach Dave Aranda, but he’s a great prospect who was overdue for a gig like this, and the returning parts aren’t all that bad.
The offense should be at least as good as last year, but the defense has to continue to take the ball away in bunches and be as clutch in key moments as it was against everyone but Oklahoma.
There’s also the matter of winning all the close games again.
Four of the wins came by six points or fewer, and that’s with a 21-13 fight against Rice.
Set The Baylor Bears Regular Season Win Total At … 6
Assume the Bears aren’t going to catch every break again – or, to be more fair, won’t make every break again – but they still have an easy enough schedule against a mediocre Big 12 to get to a bowl game.
That might seem like a low bar after last year, but there’s so much reworking and rebuilding to do under a new coaching staff.
Assume wins over Kansas and Incarnate Word at home, but everything else is a toss-up, including the home game against Louisiana Tech.
Oklahoma, Texas, Iowa State – all three of those games are on the road – and away dates again Texas Tech and West Virginia are more dangerous this year.
Set the bar at six wins, assuming that Baylor takes a step back and it’s not able to lose at least four of the games it won last year against Texas, Iowa State, Kansas State, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, West Virginia and TCU.
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