Why Ohio Will Win
– The Bobcats dominate games at times by owning third downs. Fourth in the nation on the key plays, Ohio converted close to 52% of its tries on the season hitting have of its tries eight times – it’s 4-1 when it hits more than 50% of its tries.
Nevada should be built to be great on third downs, but it’s not. It’s converting just 38% of its tries and has been under the 50% mark in every game but two. Ohio is so good because …
– The running game is just that great. With the various parts all getting a chance to work – O’Shaan Allison led the team with 823 yards and six touchdowns, De’Montre Tuggle rumbled for ten scores, and QB Nathan Rourke ran for 780 yards and 12 scores. The O ran for 200 yards or more in each of its last six games and eight times on the year.
Nevada is 0-3 when allowing 200 rushing yards or more and is 1-5 when giving up 130 yards or more. The problem for the Pack?
– The Nevada defensive front doesn’t get behind the line. Partly by the design of the offense, Ohio is sixth in the nation in tackles for loss allowed. That’s partly due to offensive style, but the line is just that good. The Wolf Pack defensive front has a little bit of a pass rush, but it’s lousy a getting behind the line overall – the Bobcats will have plenty of time to work.