Big 12 Championship: Oklahoma vs. Baylor fearless prediction and game preview.
Big 12 Championship: Oklahoma vs. Baylor Broadcast
Date: Saturday, December 7
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Oklahoma (11-1) vs. Baylor (11-1) Game Preview
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Three Reasons Why You Should Watch The Big 12 Championship
– The Big 12 teams aren’t going to fully know what their College Football Playoff situation is when the ball is kicked off, but they’ll have some idea where they stand.
The Pac-12 Championship is on Friday night, so at least they’ll know whether or not Utah one. If the Utes lose, this might just be a College Football Playoff quarterfinal game with the winner taking the fourth spot IF – and this is the unknown – LSU beats Georgia in the SEC Championship. Or, if Utah wins, the Big 12 champion will know how impressive it has to be to make the CFP committee swoon.
The playoff will be the main storyline, but, oh yeah …
– These two put on a whale of a show the first time around. Just when it seemed like Baylor was about to put its stamp on the 2019 college football season and turn into a team destined for a playoff spot, Oklahoma shut that stuff down in the second half, outscoring the Bears 24-0 on the way to a 34-31 win. If it’s not asking for too much, can we have a game that was that exciting again?
– Everyone will be watching the Jalen Hurts show. The Heisman ballots are out, and some probably already put in Joe Burrow and moved on. However, if Hurts goes ballistic and Oklahoma romps past Baylor, and Burrow gets shut down by the amazing Georgia defense in a loss, and if Ohio State’s Justin Fields is less than stellar against Wisconsin, hearts and minds could quickly change. No. 1 for the Sooners could make this a big-time Heisman race.
CFN Podcast: Big 12 Championship Discussion
Why Oklahoma Will Win
– Yeah, that Jalen Hurts guy is pretty good. Think of it this way – as good as Mac Jones was against Auburn, Alabama is probably a lock for the No. 4 spot if Hurts was able to come in as the backup. And now, he might be a starting quarterback for the third time in the College Football Playoff, and playing in his fourth tournament.
72%, 3,347 yards, 31 touchdowns, six picks, and 1,217 yards and 18 touchdowns – he’s having a more efficient and better overall season than the ones that were good enough to win the last two Heismans by guys on their way to becoming No. 1 overall NFL Draft picks. By the way, he’s not the Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year – Oklahoma State RB Chuba Hubbard earned that.
– So what did Oklahoma do so well in the second half of the first meeting after getting bombed on in the first? Let’s just call it what it was – Baylor sort of gagged. However, the Oklahoma defense generated more consistent pressure, it was better on third downs, and Hurts went all Jalen Hurts. For all of the good things Baylor does, the pass protection is a bit lacking. The Sooners have to get behind the line from the start.
– It keeps getting lost in the shuffle because it’s Oklahoma – there’s no D in OU – but the defense ended up leading the Big 12. The offense was a machine – as expected – but the biggest difference this season was the other side of the ball that was able to come up with real, live stops. Those were few and far between last year, and it’s showing with a defense that’s fantastic at getting off the field thanks to a vastly improved back seven.
Why Baylor Will Win
– Oklahoma is painfully inconsistent. It got its stuff together to get by Oklahoma State last week without too much heavy lifting, but it took that epic comeback to beat Baylor the first time, and Iowa State and TCU had their shots late in close losses. Let’s let the cliché fly – it’s hard to beat the same team twice. In terms of motivation …
– Of course both teams are going to care, but Baylor might have a little bit more fire. Dabo is doing his best to overplay the disrespect card down at Clemson, but Baylor has a more legitimate gripe. The College Football Playoff committee moved the Bears up seven, but good luck finding anyone out there who thinks anyone but Utah, Oklahoma or Georgia will take that fourth spot.
Be prepared for the not-that-crazy possibility that LSU wins the SEC title, Oregon beats Utah, and this Baylor team finishes the drill after what happened in Waco a few weeks ago.
– Turnover margin, turnover margin, turnover margin. Baylor is great, but it doesn’t have the explosion to keep up if this gets into a shootout with the No. 1 offense in college football. However, this team doesn’t screw up all that often, and when it does, it’s great at making up for it with takeaways.
It lost the turnover battle just two times all year – going just a -1 in both games – thanks to a D that’s generated two takeaways or more in eight of the last nine games. Oklahoma is a -8 in turnover margin over its last eight games – BU has to be a +2.
What’s Going To Happen
Baylor has a Utah problem, and it’s not the one you might be thinking of. Oklahoma State is the only team currently ranked in the College Football Playoff top 25 that it beat.
Oklahoma hasn’t been killing it strength of schedule-wise, either – it only has two wins over CFP-ranked teams – Baylor and Oklahoma State – and had to put up way too much of a fight throughout the second half of the season.
Baylor will be brilliant for stretches, and like the first game, there will be moments when it looks like it has control on its way to doing something special.
But Hurts will have yet another amazing game, the time of possession battle will close from that first meeting – Baylor had the ball for over 41 minutes – and the Sooners will have their second straight Big 12 title and their fifth in a row in a thriller that will tighten up late.
Big 12 Championship: Oklahoma vs. Baylor Prediction, Line
Must See Rating: 5
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Big 12 Championship History
2018 Oklahoma 39, Texas 27
2017 Oklahoma 41, TCU 17
Six year hiatus
2010 Oklahoma 23, Nebraska 20
2009 Texas 13, Nebraska 12
2008 Oklahoma 62, Missouri 21
2007 Oklahoma 38, Missouri 17
2006 Oklahoma 21, Nebraska 7
2005 Texas 70, Colorado 3
2004 Oklahoma 42, Colorado 3
2003 Kansas State 35, Oklahoma 7
2002 Oklahoma 29, Colorado 7
2001 Colorado 39, Texas 37
2000 Oklahoma 27, Kansas State 24
1999 Nebraska 22, Texas 6
1998 Texas A&M 36, Kansas State 33
1997 Nebraska 54, Texas A&M 15
1996 Texas 37, Nebraska 27