Texas vs. Kansas State fearless prediction and game preview.
Texas vs. Kansas State Broadcast
Date: Saturday, November 9
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Texas (5-3) vs. Kansas State (6-2) Game Preview
Why Kansas State Will Win
So what’s been the problem for Texas as it’s started to stink it up over the last three weeks? Turnovers were an issue against Kansas, and they were REALLY an issue in the loss to TCU.
The secondary has been an issue all year.
Joe Burrow got his season rolling in early September, but everyone is fattening up on the Longhorn pass defense.
West Virginia isn’t throwing the ball on anyone, and it ripped apart UT. Louisiana Tech, Kansas, TCU – they all threw without a problem against a D that’s allowed three touchdowns or ore four times and two scores in three other games.
The Longhorns aren’t generating a lick of a pass rush – they’re last in the Big 12 in sacks – but bombing away will be just a part of the K-State equation.
This isn’t a big passing team, but Skylar Thompson has only thrown one interception on the year and can hit the big plays.
When Kansas State runs for 200 yards or more, it’s 4-0. Texas has allowed 200 yards or more in three of the last five games.
Why Texas Will Win
Okay … Kansas State doesn’t throw.
That’s a bit by design, and it might be able to hit big plays when it gets a chance, but there’s a shot Texas gets a breather this week. It’ll be more about efficiency than bulk yards. As long as the Longhorns are able to keep the big pass plays to a minimum, they should be okay.
This has to be Sam Ehlinger’s day.
The Texas running game isn’t good enough to do much against the Kansas State run D that’s been fantastic against running backs since the struggles against Oklahoma State. It has to be the Longhorn air show that goes off to make up for the lack of a defensive punch.
He’s been putting up massive yards – throwing for 200 yards or more in every game – but it’s mostly going to be about hitting his third down throws. Kansas State lives on time of possession, but Texas is good at controlling the clock, too.
It’s no coincidence that Texas is 0-2 this season when hitting on fewer than 45% of its third down chances, and 5-1 – the loss coming to LSU – when it converts more. But …
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What’s Going To Happen
Kansas State has yet to allow anyone to cover more that 36% of their third down chances.
The Texas defense simply isn’t doing much of anything. It might not give up a ton of yards this week, but it’s going to have problems coming up with the key stops in big situations against a team that’s become great at generating key plays in key situations.
Third down conversions, penalties, turnovers – Kansas State will own all of those categories, and that will be just enough to pull off the big road upset.
Texas vs. Kansas State Prediction, Line
Must See Rating: 4
5: Knives Out
1: Doctor Sleep