UCLA vs. Oregon State fearless prediction and game preview.
UCLA vs. Oregon State Broadcast
Date: Saturday, October 5
Game Time: 9:00 ET
Venue: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
Network: Pac-12 Network
UCLA (1-4) vs. Oregon State (1-3) Game Preview
Why Oregon State Will Win
The offense is doing a nice job of moving the chains.
There’s balance, pop to the passing game, and it’s not screwing up with just one turnover so far. For a game like this against a struggling offense, simply keeping the momentum going by hitting the third down plays might be everything.
The Beavers lead the Pac-12 converting 56% of their tries, all while the Bruins are last in the conference with an offense that’s having massive issues controlling the tempo.
UCLA is last in the conference in total defense – allowing well over 500 yards per game – and the time of average time of possession of 26:36 per game isn’t helping. Not having the main man under center won’t be a plus, either.
Starting quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson banged up his leg in the loss to Arizona, and now it will likely be up to sophomore Austin Burton, who hit five of his nine passes, but he needs to come through against a defense that’s decent at getting behind the line, but …
Why UCLA Will Win
Oregon State isn’t all that good at doing anything else defensively.
The Beavers are getting killed by anyone who tries to throw the ball down the field. they’re not making big plays, and they’re not forcing takeaways. This isn’t a total disaster of a D, but commit to the ground game, or have a decent midrange passing attack, and there will be production.
Burton didn’t bomb away when he came in against Arizona, but the Bruin receivers are coming up with plenty of big plays on the move. The offense might not move the chains, and it might not be consistent, but the O is averaging close to 14 yards per reception.
With the questions at quarterback, the Bruins will pound and pound some more against the Pac-12’s worst run D. The Beavers are giving up 181 yards per game, and now they have to deal with Joshua Kelley, who ran for 90 yards against Washington State and 127 against Arizona as a bit of a workhorse.
What’s Going To Happen
UCLA’s offense just doesn’t score. It had that one burst late against Washington State, and that’s been it – the O hasn’t scored more than 17 points against anyone else.
Oregon State’s offense at least works.
Can this be the game when the Bruin offense can consistently produce? It’s at home, and it has an opponent with an offense that can’t seem to beat FBS teams.
It’s not going to be anything scintillating, but the Bruin D will be just good enough, and Kelley and the running game will be just strong enough. The UCLA will take the home win.
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UCLA vs. Oregon State Prediction, Line
UCLA 26, Oregon State 23
Bet on UCLA vs. OSU with BetMGM, or for latest line
UCLA -5.5, o/u: 65.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5
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2019 Oregon State Football Schedule
2019 Record: 1-3
2019 Preseason Prediction: 3-9
2019 Preseason Pac-12 Prediction: 1-8
2018 Record: 2-10
Aug. 30 Oklahoma State L 52-36
Sept. 7 at Hawaii L 31-28
Sept. 14 Cal Poly W 45-7
Sept. 21 OPEN DATE
Sept. 28 Stanford L 31-28
Oct. 5 at UCLA L
Oct. 12 Utah L
Oct. 19 at California W
Oct. 26 OPEN DATE
Nov. 2 at Arizona L
Nov. 8 Washington L
Nov. 16 Arizona State L
Nov. 23 at Washington State L
Nov. 30 at Oregon L
2019 UCLA Football Schedule
2019 Record: 1-4
2019 Preseason Prediction: 6-6
2019 Preseason Pac-12 Prediction: 4-5
2018 Record: 3-9
Aug. 31 at Cincinnati L 24-14
Sept. 7 San Diego State L 23-14
Sept. 14 Oklahoma L 48-14
Sept. 21 at Washington State W 67-63
Sept. 28 at Arizona L 20-17
Oct. 5 Oregon State W
Oct. 12 OPEN DATE
Oct. 17 at Stanford L
Oct. 26 Arizona State W
Nov. 2 Colorado L
Nov. 9 OPEN DATE
Nov. 16 at Utah L
Nov. 23 at USC W
Nov. 30 California W