Texas vs. TCU fearless prediction and game preview.
Texas vs. TCU Broadcast
Date: Saturday, October 26
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Texas (5-2) vs. TCU (3-3) Game Preview
Why Texas Will Win
Let’s just chalk up whatever that was against Kansas as a letdown performance after the loss to Oklahoma that ended any College Football Playoff hopes.
TCU might be great at controlling games, and it’s playing the best defense of anyone in the Big 12, but the secondary has been hit hard by the consistently accurate passing games on the slate. Former Texas QB Shane Buechele rolled for SMU in hits win over the Horned Frogs, and Iowa State’s Brock Purdy hit 79% of his throws for 247 yards and two scores in the win.
0-2 so far against teams that throw for 200 yards or more, now they have to deal with Sam Ehlinger. He was solid in last year’s win over TCU, and this year he has thrown for 210 yards or more in every game, and three touchdowns or more against everyone but West Virginia and Oklahoma.
The Longhorns continue to be killers at keeping things moving, they down third downs, they’re great at scoring whenever they have a shot, and they’re getting the running game going a bit. It didn’t work against the Sooners, but they’ve hit 200 yards or more in three of the last four games. However …
Why TCU Will Win
So far this season, Texas is 4-0 when running for more than 121 yards, and 0-2 when running for that many or fewer. TCU’s run defense has been solid – only Iowa State has come up with more than 120 rushing yards – allowing just three yards per carry and allowing just 100 yards per game so far.
The offense might not be an explosive fun show, but it’s great on the ground and it’s outstanding at keeping the chains moving. Iowa State might have stopped the attack, but it’s been able to run for 200 yards or more against everyone else with a great mix of backs in a rotation.
The Texas defensive front can be moved on. Oklahoma ran at will, and last week Kansas was able to take off for 259 yards with big dash after big dash. TCU will commit to the run from the start and keep on pounding away. It’s going to have to rock, because …
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What’s Going To Happen
Texas can control the clock, too. That’s TCU’s issue – it has to have the ball or at least 35 minutes to pull this off, and it can’t allow Texas to get out to any sort of a decent lead.
The Horned Frog secondary might be fantastic so far, but Texas will be balanced, and the beleaguered defense will be just fine without much of a passing game to worry about. The TCU offense will show up and make this interesting, but Ehlinger will take over as the game goes on.
Texas vs. TCU Prediction, Line
Texas 37, TCU 27
Bet on Texas vs. TCU with BetMGM, or for latest line
Texas -1.5, o/u: 60.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 4
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Must See Rating: 3
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