10 Best Predictions Against The Spread: Week 6

10 Best Predictions Against The Spread: Week 6


10 Best Predictions Against The Spread: Week 6


What ten games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 6? Here you go. Enjoy.

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There aren’t a ton of games this week, but there are a whole lot of good games along with a whole lot of massive potential blowouts to try figuring out.

There’s one key theme throughout most of the picks this week. Rest.

Who should come back revitalized after getting two weeks off, and which teams are on a roll and are probably in better shape to keep the momentum going?

Here are the ten games that look to be a wee bit favorable …

10 Best ATS Picks So Far: 26-27

Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.

10. Bowling Green at Notre Dame

LINE: Notre Dame -44.5, o/u: 60.5
ATS PICK: Notre Dame
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

If you’ve been reading this over the years, you know that I always preach to go with the huge underdogs in games like this. If someone wants to give more than 40 points – like UConn getting 42 against UCF last weekend – you say thank you, take them, and move on. Too many things have to go right/wrong for the favorite to win by a massive spread, and even if it’s a total wipeout, it still might not be enough.

Yeah, blow all that off here.

Bowling Green is miserable. It just got crushed by Kent State by 42, the offense is going nowhere, and the secondary has been torched despite not playing anyone with a high-powered passing game. The Irish whacked New Mexico 66-14 – channel that performance.

Keeping this same this-week-only change of heart in mind …

9. Kent State at Wisconsin

LINE: Wisconsin -36.5, o/u: 59.6
ATS PICK: Wisconsin
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

The take-the-massive-underdog theory usually applies to 40 or more, but this is still a big number to hit against a Kent State team that has enough of an offense to get in the end zone a few times. But here’s all you need to know …

Kent State is dead last in college football against the run.

Wisconsin, apparently, is okay at this whole ground game thing.

Be a little worried that the Badgers will get up fast and shut it down to get ready for Michigan State, but the Wisconsin twos should be able to keep cranking up the numbers on the ground. It’s hard to not try when you’re running the ball with your backups.

8. North Carolina at Georgia Tech

LINE: North Carolina -10.5, o/u: 48.5
ATS PICK: North Carolina
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Is North Carolina sad and sleepy after coming so brutally close to knocking off Clemson? Is this the week Georgia Tech figures something out and joins us in the 2019 college football season?

There’s reason to be concerned with the Tar Heels, mainly because they’ve lost three straight have yet to play a game decided by more than six points.

Don’t go with the North Carolina-lost-to-Clemson-by-one-and-Tech-lost-by-38 thing, and do just assume that a 24-2 Yellow Jacket loss to Temple means much, or the home loss to Citadel shows that …

Just go with the Tar Heels against a team that hasn’t shown anything yet offensively.

7. Utah State at LSU

LINE: LSU -27.5, o/u: 72.5
ATS PICK: Utah State
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Is the LSU secondary finally going to start to play?

Teams have had to bomb away to try keeping up, but other than Alabama and Texas, no one on the Tiger schedule is better equipped to fire away at will than Utah State.

This is sort of a strange sandwich game for LSU. It’s had two weeks off to rest up after obliterating Vanderbilt by 28, and it has Florida up next. This should be a sharpen-up-and-get-out game, but Jordan Love and the Utah State offense – 12th in the nation in passing – should be able to do just enough  to not get completely destroyed.

You’ll probably have to wait it out until the very end, but the Aggies won’t quit against the Tiger backups.

6. Air Force at Navy

LINE: Air Force -3.5, o/u: 44.5
ATS PICK: Air Force
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Air Force is proven, and Navy isn’t.

The two do the exact same things right. They’re both great at running the ball, they both stop the run, they’re both connecting on their deep shots when available, don’t commit penalties, and dominate the tempo and time of possession battles.

Air Force has three more turnovers, but it also played one extra game. More importantly …

Air Force has hung tough with good teams, and Navy hasn’t.

This is a true toss-up, but Air Force beat Colorado in Boulder and pushed Boise State really, really had on the blue turf. Navy is coming off a 12-point loss to Memphis.

Go with the proven good team over the relatively unproven good team.

NEXT: The Top Five


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