LSU vs. Texas fearless prediction and game preview.
LSU vs. Texas Broadcast
Date: Saturday, September 7
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
LSU (0-0) vs. Texas (0-0) Game Preview
The kids are out of the room, so we can talk freely here.
Auburn vs. Oregon wasn’t without its charm, but come on – it’s not like either of those two are winning the national title.
Texas A&M and Clemson really are good enough to potentially win it all – with the two taking center stage earlier in the day – but the Tigers can lose and rip apart everyone else in their light and breezy path to, at worst, the CFP No. 2 seed. Even if the Aggies win, their schedule is so next-level brutal that getting through without two losses would be beyond amazing.
No … this is it. LSU vs. Texas is the 2019 non-conference game of non-conference games. It’s a cliché, but it’s absolutely true …
Welcome to a College Football Playoff elimination game.
With a win by the Longhorns, the Texas Is Back thing kicks in full force.
LSU has a tough road ahead, but Florida and Texas A&M are home games to go along with the date in Tuscaloosa. Lose here, and it’ll take nothing short of an SEC championship to have a shot at the CFP. Win, and there’s a CFP cushion in case there’s an SEC loss along the way.
Why LSU Will Win
Does Texas have any running backs left?
QB Sam Ehlinger might be the team’s most dangerous rushing option, but the Longhorns have gone through an insane array of injuries that decimated the running back corps. Keontay Ingram showed in the win over Louisiana Tech that he can rip it up, but he was banged up for a stretch this offseason, too.
More than that, the bigger problem for the Longhorns will be on the lines. They have talent on both sides, and they’ll get physical, but LSU’s defensive front is loaded with next-level nasty.
Outside of Ehlinger’s power game, the Texas ground game isn’t going anywhere. That means the Horns have to challenge one of the nation’s best secondaries to keep things moving.
How sharp were the Tigers right out of the gate? Joe Burrow hit 23-of-27 passes for 278 yards and five scores, and now he’s going against a Texas secondary that allowed 331 yards and two scores – to be very, very fair, a large chunk of that came after the game was long over – to Louisiana Tech’s J’Mar Smith.
Why Texas Will Win
LSU strangely couldn’t get its ground game moving against Georgia Southern. Boo hoo, the team was up 42-3 at halftime, but the strong Tiger O line failed to generate enough of a push or a whole lot of big plays. Texas might not do a whole bunch to get to Burrow, but it has the talent up front to swarm all over Clyde Edwards-Helaire and the LSU running backs.
Burrow is solid, and he more than proved himself throughout last season, but on the road, the LSU O needs to be more balanced than it was last week. As good as the Tiger receivers are, they’re going right into the teeth of the UT D.
Forget about the yards allowed to Louisiana Tech – sorry to have even brought that up before – this Texas secondary is every bit as special as what LSU is bringing to Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
This game is likely going to come down to which quarterback can do the most to simply keep things moving and stay on the field. This is Sam Ehlinger’s day – he has to convert on third downs.
There are few better in the country at doing just that.
What’s Going To Happen
Sam, meet Michael Divinity, Jacob Phillips, and K’Lavon Chaisson. They form the core of a special group of LSU linebackers to go along with the best safety in college football, Grant Delpit. It’s this group of Tigers vs. No. 11, and the LSU guys have the speed, toughness and athleticism to win enough battles to pull this off.
Texas will come out hot, it’ll play well from the start, and Ehlinger and company will strike first, but slow and steady will win this race.
Neither quarterback will make the big mistake, and both teams will be rock-solid sound throughout. Over the course of the long game, though, the LSU D will simply make the one extra stop that the Texas defense won’t.
Over the last two seasons, LSU is 5-4 in true road games, and with three of the wins – including a 24-17 performance last year against a miserable Arkansas team – way too close for comfort. Ed Orgeron’s team will pull this off, but it’ll be tight.
Expect nothing short of a classic.
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LSU vs. Texas Prediction, Line
LSU 27, Texas 24
Line: LSU -5.5, o/u: 55.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Must See Rating: 5
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