Who’s still alive in the chase to get into the 2019-2020 College Football Playoff?
Here’s how we know the unwritten rules work, generally speaking …
1) Win your Power Five championship and finish 13-0, and you’re in. There won’t be five of them, and if there are, the Pac-12 is almost certainly out. Or …
2) Win your Power Five championship and finish 12-1, and you’re probably in. Ohio State was the first to miss out last year after doing this, partly because it got blown away by Purdue, and totally because Notre Dame was 12-0.
3) Go 11-1 in the SEC or Big Ten with that one loss coming to a conference champion who’s off to the College Football Playoff. That’s how Alabama got in on the way to a title in 2017. Or, be dominant and have one loss that was by crazy circumstances, like Ohio State did to get in despite losing to Penn State in 2016.
4) Win your Group of Five conference championship at 13-0 and pray for a whole lot of luck. We have yet to have a slew of two-loss Power Five champions, but that’s what it would take for an unbeaten Group of Fiver to get in.
With all of that in mind, this is broken down into five categories.
Finished. It’s over. Let’s go take a steam …
These teams are either Power Five programs with multiple losses – with one notable exception – or have one loss from a Group of Five conference.
These 79 teams are out of the national title hunt even though the season is just a month old.
American Athletic Conference
Cincinnati, East Carolina, Houston, Temple, Tulsa, UConn, UCF, USF
Florida State, Georgia Tech, Miami, Louisville, North Carolina, Pitt, Syracuse
Illinois, Northwestern, Purdue, Rutgers
Charlotte, Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Louisiana Tech, Marshall, Middle Tennessee, North Texas, Old Dominion, Rice, Southern Miss, UTEP, UTSA, WKU
Army, BYU, Liberty, New Mexico State, UMass
Akron, Ball State, Bowling Green, Buffalo, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Kent State, Miami University, Northern Illinois, Ohio, Toledo, Western Michigan
Air Force, Colorado State, Fresno State, Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, San Diego State, San Jose State, UNLV, Utah State, Wyoming
Oregon State, Stanford, UCLA
Arkansas, Kentucky, Missouri (not eligible), Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt
Arkansas State, Coastal Carolina, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, Louisiana, South Alabama, Texas State, Troy, ULM
NEXT: Group of Five hopefuls