Who’s still alive in the chase to get into the 2019-2020 College Football Playoff?
Week 3 was a blast and we all had a lot of fun, but now it’s really Game On starting next week when conference play kicks in full-force and Notre Dame goes to Georgia.
It’s mid-September, but several teams have already bowed out, and some are on life-support to get one of those four spots. Here’s how we know the unwritten rules work, generally speaking …
1) Win your Power Five championship and finish 13-0, and you’re in. There won’t be five of them, and if there are, the Pac-12 is almost certainly out. Or …
2) Win your Power Five championship and finish 12-1, and you’re probably in. Ohio State was the first to miss out last year after doing this, partly because it got blown away by Purdue, and totally because Notre Dame was 12-0.
3) Go 11-1 in the SEC or Big Ten with that one loss coming to a conference champion who’s off to the College Football Playoff. That’s how Alabama got in on the way to a title in 2017. Or, be dominant and have one loss that was by crazy circumstances, like Ohio State did to get in despite losing to Penn State in 2016.
4) Win your Group of Five conference championship at 13-0 and pray for a whole lot of luck. We have yet to have a slew of two-loss Power Five champions, but that’s what it would take for an unbeaten Group of Fiver to get in.
or, of course …
5) Be Notre Dame and go 12-0. This is hardly a given, though. It would take a few Power Five champs to have losses to make this happen.
With all of that in mind, this is broken down into five categories.
– Finished. It’s over. The College Football Playoff dream is kaput
– The Group of Five hopefuls
– The one-loss teams that technically still have a shot
– The one-loss teams that actually have a shot
– The unbeaten College Football Playoff contenders
Finished. It’s over. Let’s go take a steam …
These teams all have multiple losses or have one loss from a Group of Five conference. 66 teams are out of the national title hunt even though the season has barely started.
American Athletic Conference
Cincinnati, East Carolina, Houston, Tulsa, UConn, USF
Florida State, Syracuse, Georgia Tech, Miami, Pitt
Charlotte, Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Louisiana Tech, Marshall, Middle Tennessee, North Texas, Old Dominion, Rice, Southern Miss, UTEP, UTSA, WKU
Army, BYU, Liberty, New Mexico State, UMass
Akron, Ball State, Bowling Green, Buffalo, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Kent State, Miami University, Northern Illinois, Ohio, Toledo, Western Michigan
Colorado State, Fresno State, Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, San Jose State, UNLV, Utah State
Oregon State, Stanford, UCLA
Missouri (not eligible), South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt
Arkansas State, Coastal Carolina, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, Louisiana, South Alabama, Texas State, Troy, ULM
NEXT: Group of Five hopefuls