LINE: Memphis -4.5, o/u: 64.5
POINT TOTAL PICK: Over
The big move has been on the line, with Memphis a solid -6.5 for a while, and then came the money on Ole Miss that moved it down to 4.5.
The total has come down, too, for no particular reason. It started out a 68.5, and even though the weather appears to be just fine for Saturday afternoon – but HOT – it’s down to 64.5.
Like you need the extra help on a total that’s at least 15 points light.
The Memphis defense will be a wee bit better, but not by a whole lot. The Ole Miss offense loses a slew of key parts to the NFL, but it’ll still be dangerous. The Memphis offense has the firepower to put up a big number. The Ole Miss defense doesn’t have the ability to stop it.
How many Memphis games last year went over the 64.5 point total? Eight of the 14, and a few others were right there.
How many Ole Miss games last years went over the 64.5 point total? Seven of the 12.
Expect a fun shootout, and expect this to be played closer to the high-70s/early 80s.
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