1. NEVADA WIN TOTAL PREDICTION: WHAT’S GOING TO HAPPEN
The offense improved, the defense was terrific, and the team came up with a surprisingly strong eight-win season with a bowl victory.
But there were a whole lot of wins over a whole lot of mediocre teams.
That’s part of the deal – you have to beat who’s on the slate – but the schedule is a whole lot tougher, and the team is a bit worse.
The quarterback play is a question mark, the O line needs three new parts, and a bulk of the key starters are done on the defensive side.
Set The Regular Season Win Total At … 6
The Wolf Pack were able to beat Oregon State last season, but this time around they have to go to Oregon and host Purdue.
They were able to survive early losses last year, and they started out 3-4 after dealing with the Mountain West big boys Fresno State and Boise State, but time around they have to go to Utah State. And Wyoming. At San Diego State. And Fresno State.
Assume five losses out of those four conference road dates and the two big non-conference games, and don’t blow off home games against Hawaii and against improved New Mexico and UNLV squads.
The Pack will go to back-to-back bowl games for the first time since 2014-2015, but it’ll take whole lot of work to get there.