10 Best 2019 NFL Draft Prop Bets

10 Best 2019 NFL Draft Prop Bets

2019 NFL Draft

10 Best 2019 NFL Draft Prop Bets


What are the ten best NFL Draft prop bets to exploit and have fun with?

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2 Round Mock Draft

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It’s a little dangerous to play around with the NFL Draft prop bet world – mainly because you have no idea how the trades are going to go and how many different variables there will be – but there are always a few ridiculous values to be had.

With the odds taken from across the sports betting world – go shop around and you can find ones that are at least close to these – here are the ten that appear to be too good to pass up.

10. Running Backs Taken In First Round

LINE: Over 0.5 (-200), Under 0.5 (+150)
2019 NFL DRAFT PICK: Under

The only reason to even think about this is because of the under value.

It’s a pick with absolutely zero fun attached to it, especially because it only takes one team to pick up Alabama’s Josh Jacobs – who could go in the top ten, or fall out of the first round

If only takes one team to fall in love with a Miles Sanders from Penn State early on – more on that in a moment – for you to lose.

The biggest issue? Rashaad Penny.

He was the curveball pick by Seattle last year, and Sony Michel slid in just under the first round wire by New England in a surprise move. There’s always someone who screws things up, and again, just one running back, and that’s it.

2014 was the last time there weren’t any running backs gone in the first round – Washington’s Bishop Sankey was the first off the board to Tennessee with the 54th pick, by the way – and I don’t have any running backs going early in the final two-round mock draft.

Go really, really light with this, take the value, and cross your fingers.

9. More First Round Picks …

LINE: Offense +2.5 (+110), Defense -2.5 (-130)
2019 NFL DRAFT PICK: Offense

The tricky part here is the spread of 2.5.

Remember, there are 32 picks, so to take the defense and win, you need 18 players to be selected – that’s four more than will go on the offensive side – because the O wins if the D puts in 17.

That means you just have to hope for just 15 offensive players to be selected to win the +110. Who are the sure things? Count them out …

In some order, Kyler Murray, Dwayne Haskins, Daniel Jones, Jawaan Taylor, TJ Hockenson, Jonah Williams, Andre Dillard, DK Metcalf, Garrett Bradbury. Maybe a Jones or a Metcalf or a Bradbury will slide, but that means other offensive players would almost certainly take their place.

Here’s the other key part – the early second round value is all on the offensive side, so a few guys could slip into the late first.

If Drew Lock goes, and/or a running back, and/or another running back, and/or linemen like Chris Lindstrom, Dalton Risner or Erik McCoy, and/or Hollywood Brown or Noah Fant …

You’ll get to 15. You’ll have to sweat it out – last year there were 16, and it took the last two picks in the round to get there – but you’ll make it.

8. ACC & Big Ten Players Taken In First Round

LINE: Over 12.5 (-110), Under 12.5 (-110)
2019 NFL DRAFT PICK: Under

Start with the obvious.

Ohio State’s Nick Bosa will go in the first round from the Big Ten. So will Michigan’s Rashan Gary and Devin Bush, Iowa’s TJ Hockenson and Ohio State’s Dwayne Haskins. That’s five.

From the ACC side, there’s no question that Clemson will put Christian Wilkins and Clelin Ferrell in the first round, and Dexter Lawrence is close to being a lock, too. So are Duke’s Daniel Jones and NC State’s Garrett Bradbury.

That’s ten between the two conferences.

Iowa’s Noah Fant should be a first rounder, and so should Florida State DE Brian Burns, but Fant isn’t a 100% lock, and neither are Burns or Bradberry. However, if Boston College G Chris Lindstrom slides on in, it’ll be dicey on the under.

There definitely won’t be more than 13, so you’re taking the shot on a Greedy Williams, or Dalton Risner, or Josh Jacobs, or any one of another few stars from other conferences to go in the first.

Hold your breath … take the under.

7. Quarterbacks Taken In First Round

LINE: Over 3.5 (-260), Under 3.5 (+220)
2019 NFL DRAFT PICK: Under

Work with me on this.

There’s a whole lot smoke out there right now when it comes to the quarterbacks and which teams will jockey for position to get them.

Here’s the issue – there aren’t a whole lot of teams that desperately have to spend a first round pick on a quarterback. If Josh Rosen is traded to Oakland, or Miami, or Washington, or the Giants, you’re screwed on the over.

Kyler Murray is the only absolute 100% sure-thing first round quarterback. Dwayne Haskins will slide, but he’ll go in the first, and so will Daniel Jones.

Just how much do you like Drew Lock?

The massive concern on the over is that once the three go, no one else will really need one – it’s a buyer’s market. So a team might be able to wait until the second or even the third to get a Will Grier or a Ryan Finley.

Or a Lock.

So here’s the call. Four will go in the first round, buuuuuuuuuut …

The -260 isn’t cool. Go light, take a chance on the under, and hope to hit the +220.

SportsBookWire.com’s Top 5 Best Prop Bets

6. SEC Players Taken In First Round

LINE: Over 12.5 (+110), Under 12.5 (-130)
2019 NFL DRAFT PICK: Under

Ten SEC players went in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft. 12 went in the first round in 2017, and eight were selected among the first 31 picks in 2016.

And now the world is asking for you to assume 13 or more are going to go this year?

Josh Allen and Quinnen Williams are going to go in the first round.

Jawaan Taylor, Devin White, Deandre Baker and Jonah Williams are going in the first 32, too.

After those six, there are several SEC players who should go in the first round, but could absolutely slide on out and into the second.

Just how much is everyone worried about the Mississippi State linemen (Montez Sweat’s heart and Jeffery Simmons’ knee)? Will Bulldog S Johnathan Abram go? All three probably will, and you’ll still be okay with the under.

Are Greedy Williams and Josh Jacobs sure-thing first rounders? How about Drew Lock? How about Erik McCoy? How about DK Metcalf?

The SEC will put a whole lot of players in, but this is a strong draft up top across the board. The final count should top out at 12.

NEXT: The Top Five


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