LINE: LSU -7.5, o/u: 156.5
POINT TOTAL PICK: Under
This is going to be so hard to do.
How do you go with the under when the two teams each average 81 points per game?
The LSU defense was among the worst in the SEC – allowing 73 points per game – and Yale’s D is a rumor. However, this is where you’re hoping and relying on the SEC talent and rebounding ability taking over the game to keep this from getting out of hand.
Yale only put up 58 points against Duke, scored 76 to beat Cal, and 77 to get by Miami. Rolling up Ivy League teams was fun, but against the Power Five programs, the points weren’t quite where they’ll need to be for this game to get to 157.
The Bulldogs aren’t scoring 80.
For all of LSU’s talent and firepower, it’s more likely to score around 75 in this game than 80 – it’s not going to want to run and gun with Yale. It’ll want to dominate on the glass, assume the Bulldogs can’t and won’t hit a three, and keep the game from going off.