NCAA Tournament: Ten Best Over/Under Point Total Predictions, First Round

NCAA Tournament: Ten Best Over/Under Point Total Predictions, First Round

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NCAA Tournament: Ten Best Over/Under Point Total Predictions, First Round


What ten NCAA Tournament March Madness over/under point totals are the best bets and the best picks? Here you go. Enjoy.

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Starting with a few that didn’t quite make the cut, but are still spicy …

VCU vs. UCF 126.5 OVER
Wisconsin vs. Oregon 116.5 OVER
Iowa State vs. Ohio State 140 UNDER

Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.

10. 2 Tennessee vs. 15 Colgate

LINE: Tennessee -17.5, o/u: 148

It’s all on Tennessee. The Vols put up 82 points per game with an aggressive defense, great passing, and the ability to get on the move and overcome any run with a big spurt of its own. As long as it does its part and gets to the mid-80s, Colgate should help the rest. The Raiders aren’t going to put up their normal 76 points per game, but they’ll be good for well over 60. Yeah, that 148 is a relatively big number, but you’ll sweat through it.

9. 4 Florida State vs. 13 Vermont

LINE: Florida State -9, o/u: 133.5

The Florida State defense has to come up large. Vermont can score, but the Seminole defense has a way of keeping games in the 60s with its interior defense. If FSU could hold teams like Virginia Tech and Clemson down, it should be able to ramp up the intensity and bother the Catamounts enough to keep this relatively close late.

You’ll be annoyed when both teams hit their free throws to inch towards the total, but you’re fine – Vermont hasn’t scored 75 or more in eight of its last ten games, and it’ll struggle to get to 60.

8. 7 Cincinnati vs. 10 Iowa

LINE: Cincinnati -3.5, o/u: 137.5

Iowa doesn’t play a whole lot of D, averages 78 points per game, and Cincinnati can explode from time to time. So why the under? The Bearcat defense is going to be an issue for the Hawkeyes.

Iowa has been in a whole lot of shootouts over its ugly 2-6 finishing kick, but the UC D has been great at keeping games down to its pace. It can get on the move from time to time, but it has held 15 of its last 17 opponents to under 70 points.

Going way back to early in the year, Cincinnati-Ohio State got to 120 combined points. UC-Ole Miss? 128. UC-Mississippi State? 129. Against the Power Five programs, it’s slow-and-go, and that’s what this will be, too.

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7. 4 Kansas State vs. 13 UC Irvine

LINE: Kansas State -4.5, o/u: 119

The Wildcats will be without Dean Wade and his 13-point average, but they’ll still be able to do just enough to help get past the 119-point mark. They’ll play in the 60s, and that’s all you need. Over the last 18 games, only the games against Iowa State didn’t get to 119.

UC Irvine is going to try to push the pace a little bit. It doesn’t do enough form the outside, but it’s able to hit the boards and get on the move to keep the pressure on. The 52 scored in a win over Eastern Michigan back in December was the only time the Anteaters were under 60.

6. 1 Virginia vs. 16 Gardner-Webb

LINE: Virginia -22.5, o/u: 130.5

There’s a great chance the Virginia defense comes out angry, roaring, and with enough of a purpose to keep Gardner-Webb to under 50 points.

And the Cavaliers will score over 80.

If you’re going with the theory that Virginia is looking to make a big statement after losing in the 1-16 game last year, then you’re all in on a big number from a UVa offense that doesn’t get enough love and respect.

It’s up to the Bulldogs to do something. They can’t get totally wiped out and put up 45 points, and the Cavaliers have the D to make that happen. But GWU will hit its free throws and it’s fantastic at shooting from three. It’ll get to around 55, and Virginia will take care of the rest.

NEXT: The Top Five


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