It’s obviously way early, but the early future odds are out on who’ll win the Heisman. Where’s the good value?
Last February, did you really think Kyler Murray was going to win the 2018 Heisman Trophy? Maybe, but it wasn’t a sure-thing lock that he was going to start over Austin Kendall.
Yeah, Tua Tagovailoa was on the radar, but how about Dwayne Haskins? They came close, and they were amazing, but they didn’t win it.
Did you have Clemson superstar freshman Trevor Lawrence as a possibility? No? I did, but he won a national title – he wasn’t in the Heisman equation.
It’s really, really, really, REALLY hard to win a Heisman. When it comes to the futures odds, for right now, you either you win it, or you don’t.
To win, you almost certainly have to 1) be a statistical superstar 2) quarterback or running back on a 3) Power Five team that’s 4) in the hunt for a national title.
There aren’t any points for second place in this race.
So with that in mind, in February, where’s the best value? Which players make the most sense to invest in?
Here we go …
Don’t Bother With These Long Shots
They’re on the board, but nah. They’re long shots for a reason, and these are hard to justify even just to have a little fun.
WR Rondale Moore, Purdue 33/1
1) He’s a wide receiver. 2) He plays for Purdue. 3) See Parts 1 and 2. Put him on the short list for the All-America honors, but it would take something unbelievable for him to get anything closer than being a fringe candidate to be a Heisman finalist.
WR Jerry Jeudy, Alabama 25/1
Amari Cooper was at least able to get in the Heisman discussion in 2014, but 124 catches for 1,727 yards and 16 scores wasn’t able to get it done. Jeudy is fantastic, but if he goes off, Mr. Tagovailoa will probably have something to do with it.
The Tide have other weapons who’ll take catches away, and Najee Harris and the running backs will be a factor, too. Jeudy isn’t winning the Heisman – no need to mess with it at 25/1.
QB Austin Kendall, West Virginia 25/1
Get ready for the Oklahoma transfer to come up with a huge season in the Mountaineer attack. New head coach Neal Brown will be great, but the offensive numbers won’t be as crazy as they were under Dana Holgorsen. The Mountaineers will be in the mix for things, but they’re not going to win the Big 12 title.
QB Kelly Bryant, Missouri 25/1
There are just too many good quarterbacks. Bryant should have an amazing season getting to run the loaded Mizzou attack, but will he have the numbers to pull off the Heisman? Can he lead the Tigers to an SEC title? Nah.