It’s obviously way early, but the early future odds are out on winning the College Football Playoff National Championship. Where’s the good value?
We’re just about 11 months away from the 2020 College Football Playoff National Championship.
So now is when it’s time to find the right value – if you’re into the whole sports investing thing.
It might be fun to throw a few dollars down on a wild long shot, but winning the College Football Playoff is next to impossible. It’s obvious, but it’s not like trying to win the college basketball national championship, with good teams all hopeful to go on a six-game heater of a run at the right time starting in mid-March.
First, you have to be good enough to be unbeaten or win your Power Five conference championship with just one loss.
Second, see part one.
Third, just getting there isn’t enough. These future odds are about winning the whole thing, and not just being a 2018 Notre Dame and getting in the CFP after having a great season.
Starting with …
Don’t Bother With These Long Shots
They’re on the board, but nah. They’re long shots for a reason, and these are hard to justify even just to have a little fun.
The Orange do get Clemson in the Carrier Dome, and the schedule isn’t all that awful, but they’re not going to be good enough to get to 12-1.
There’s no Josh Allen on defense, no Benny Snell for the running game, and the Georgia game is on the road. However, the overall schedule is relatively terrific for an SEC team. But even if the Cats do somehow take the East, actually winning the SEC title is too massive a leap.
Considering Mizzou is currently under an NCAA postseason ban, winning the national title might be tricky.
Virginia Tech 100/1
The Hokies are will be a whole lot better, but road games at Miami, Notre Dame and Virginia – and with, most likely, Clemson in the ACC title game – make 12-1 too far out there.
Can Utah win the Pac-12 title? Absolutely. Can it go 12-1? Maybe, even with road games at USC and Washington. But the Utes won’t be good enough to win two games in the College Football Playoff.
At Michigan, at Wisconsin, at Northwestern, home against Penn State. Iowa has handled nasty schedules before under Kirk Ferentz, and winning the Big Ten West is possible, but no on the national championship.
It’s just so, so, so hard for any Group of Five team to be even considered for the CFP. UCF will be nasty again, but it’s not winning the whole thing.
Yes, the Tigers were an SEC Championship win away from going to the CFP in 2017. Yes, they’ll be better. Here’s the issue: Oregon (in Arlington), at Texas A&M, at Florida, at LSU, Georgia, and Alabama. That’s not fair for anyone.
Mississippi State 50/1
Nah. Even with the improved offense, the defense won’t be as good. Having to to to Auburn, Tennessee and Texas A&M to go along with visits from LSU and Alabama will be too much to even get to the SEC Championship.
Of course you’re thinking that if Scott Frost could go unbeaten in his second year at UCF, maybe he can pull that same thing off at Nebraska. Not yet. The team will go on a roll, and all of the tough games are at home – Ohio State, Northwestern, Wisconsin, Iowa – but … not yet. The Huskers will be players in the Big Ten race, but … not yet on the national title front.