VRBO Citrus Bowl: Kentucky vs. Penn State Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

VRBO Citrus Bowl: Kentucky vs. Penn State Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

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VRBO Citrus Bowl: Kentucky vs. Penn State Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

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Why Kentucky Will Win The VRBO Citrus Bowl

Few teams are better at dragging opponents down to their level better than Kentucky. The Wildcats don’t own the time of possession battle, and they aren’t great at owning third downs, but they’re great at controlling the tempo and the game with their running game and nasty defense. Who else is good at taking teams out of their groove? Michigan State, who came up with a 21-17 win over the Nittany Lions.

How did the Spartans do it? They kept the Penn State offense off of the field by owning third downs. The Nittany Lion attack converted fewer than 30% of its chances just three times this season – and it lost all three games.

Speaking of controlling the game, Penn State is dead last in the Big Ten in time of possession. The offense moves quickly, and it can score in a flash, but it only keeps the ball for 27:32 per game. Kentucky doesn’t dominate the clock on a regular basis, but it’s been able to do it from time to time. It has to run Benny Snell, keep the chains moving, and keep Trace McSorley and company off the field.

It got a little friskier by the end of the season, but the UK offense isn’t explosive enough to keep up if this gets into a shootout. It needs to take advantage of all of its opportunities, and that means the defense has to come up with a few takeaways.

The D is okay at forcing fumbles with ten on the year, and Penn State’s offense will put it on the ground, losing a Big Ten-most 12 fumbles with at least one in each of the last nine games.

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NEXT: Why Penn State Will Win The VRBO Citrus Bowl

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