Orange Bowl: Alabama vs. Oklahoma Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

Orange Bowl: Alabama vs. Oklahoma Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

Bowls College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: Alabama vs. Oklahoma Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

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Why Alabama Will Win The Orange Bowl

Alabama’s offense vs. Oklahoma’s defense … uh oh. The Sooner offense has been amazing, but that’s partly because it had no other choice – keep up or die.

Start with the Sooner secondary. Ripped apart at will by the Big 12’s terrific passing games, OU has allowed close to 3,800 yards and 24 touchdown s with just six picks. And that’s with Army on the slate bringing the overall numbers down.

Alabama’s passing game connects on 68% of its throws – whether it’s Tua Tagovailoa or Jalen Hurts – and averages over 11 yards per throw. There should be some pass rush from the OU front, but not enough to keep Tagovailoa from firing at will against the nation’s second-worse pass D. If, somehow, Oklahoma slows down the Alabama passing game …

Alabama’s running game vs. Oklahoma’s run defense … uh oh. Versatile, the Crimson Tide offense has been able to grind out the ground game and get into a groove. It rumbled on LSU’s great defensive front for 281 yards in the 29-0 win, and ran for over 200 yards seven times. However, all of those games came in the first nine of the season – the team wore down late against the great SEC defensive fronts on the slate. Now it has had time off.

The teams that couldn’t throw on the Oklahoma defense – Army and Kansas – simply ran amok. The Knights tore off 339 yards, and the Jayhawks pulled off a shocking 348 yards.

The only way Oklahoma should be able to stop the Bama offense is by taking the ball away, but …

Alabama has only lost the ball 13 times on the season. There’s legitimate reason to worry considering six of those giveaways came in the final four games – two each against Mississippi State, Citadel and Georgia – but be shocked if Oklahoma comes away with two Bama miscues. The Sooners came up with a mere 11 takeaways on the season with just one interception in the final six games and one fumble recovery in the first seven.

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