You’ve Read This Far, So You Get Three Honest Thoughts On The Birmingham Bowl
– For those of you who care about trends and history, it doesn’t get a whole lot clearer than this. Memphis has been a bowl game disaster for a stretch, partly because it’s usually playing up. The Tigers have lost their last three – including a blowout to Auburn and a thriller last year to Iowa State – and have lost five of their last six going back to the 2014 Motor City Bowl over BYU. Going back to your 1956 Burley Bowl against East Tennessee State, the program is an okay 5-6 in bowls, but has yet to beat a current Power Five program. On the flip side …
– Wake Forest has been terrific in bowl games over the last several years, going 2-0 under head coach Dave Clawson, 4-1 overall in the last five, and going all the way back to 1992, cranking out a 7-2 record. When was the last time Wake Forest lost a bowl game to a current program outside of the Power Five? Never. As a program, the last loss to any Group of Five team was back in early 2014 to Utah State.
– Just how much will playing dugh to offset the advantage?
Super. So Who’s Going To Win The Birmingham Bowl?
Wake Forest will come through with stronger line play late in a back-and-forth offensive fight. The two teams will combine for close to 1,000 yards, but the ACC offense will be stronger when it has to be. The Demon Deacons will be well motivated, and they’ll fight for a full four quarters because they’ll have too. When absolutely needed, Memphis won’t be able to come up with a big fourth quarter stop.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Wake Forest 45, Memphis 38
Line: Memphis -3.5, o/u: 73.5
ATS Confidence: 3.5
5: Being in the bar already
0: Watching ball drop … and then trying to get into the bar
Must See Rating: 3
5: New Year’s Eve: Ministry of Sound, London
1: New Year’s Eve: Times Square, New York