Wisconsin vs. Penn State fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, November 10
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Beaver Stadium, State College, PA
Wisconsin (6-3) vs. Penn State (6-3) Game Preview
One Reason Why Wisconsin Will Win
The Badgers need the offensive line and running game that ripped through Illinois and Rutgers to show up in State College.
The passing game can’t count on Alex Hornibrook – who missed the Northwestern game was knocked out of the win over Rutgers last week. Jack Coan is being limited in what he can do in his place, but no matter who’s under center, the Badgers have to get nasty.
Penn State was beaten up by Iowa in a tough Nittany Lion win a few weeks ago, and last week the lines were pounded on by Michigan in the 42-3 loss. The running game has hit the skids over the last three weeks after cranking up 200 yards every game, and Trace McSorley hasn’t been able to pick up the slack.
He’s never been among the most accurate of passers, but he’s struggling way too much over the last two weeks completing just 16-of-38 passes – partly because he’s banged up.
Wisconsin’s offensive line has to get into a lather from the start. Pound, pound, pound, get Jonathan Taylor going, and the defense has to all of sudden be far better, because …
One Reason Why Penn State Will Win
This isn’t the Wisconsin defense of last year.
The Badger defense has a problem with dangerous, heady quarterbacks – BYU’s Tanner Mangum wasn’t great, but he’s a mature player who did what he needed to do, and Northwestern’s Clayton Thorson was fantastic – and the ballers like Michigan’s Shea Patterson and Nebraska’s Adrian Martinez, have been successful, too.
McSorley is a veteran baller.
He and Tommy Stevens should be able to get the passing game going just enough against the mediocre Badger secondary to keep things going. The Bucky defensive front doesn’t generate enough pressure to put a stop to that.
Yes, Wisconsin leads the Big Ten with one of the nation’s best running games, but it’s bum-slaying. The ground game is amazing against the mediocre defenses, and it has to run for 210 yards to win. The Badgers are 6-0 when hitting 210 yards or more, and 0-3 when it’s under.
With the iffy quarterback situation, the Badgers are going to struggle to hit consistently get the ground game moving like they’ll need to.
What’s Going To Happen
Wisconsin’s defense just isn’t good enough.
It has the ground game to beat up the Nittany Lions, but the secondary has problems with midrange passing games and good receivers. The Penn State offense won’t be awesome, but it’ll connect just enough to keep the chains moving. Wisconsin will get the yards on the ground to keep things going, but the lack of a steady passing attack will be a killer.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Penn State 30, Wisconsin 23
Line: Penn State -8, o/u: 53
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Must See Rating: 3.5
5: Watergate (on History Channel)
1: Ralph Breaks The Internet