Texas vs. Texas Tech fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, November 10
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
Texas (6-3) vs. Texas Tech (5-4) Game Preview
One Reason Why Texas Will Win
The Longhorns know they can prepare for Jett Duffey.
Texas Tech starting quarterback Alan Bowman is out of the hospital after taking a hit against Oklahoma – and suffering a recurrence of a partially collapsed lung injury he suffered a few games earlier – and now the offense needs Duffey to be amazing. He’s good, and he’s a strong runner, but he’s not the passer Bowman is.
Texas might have had a few issues containing Oklahoma’s Kyler Murray late in the showdown back in early October, but as long as it can contain Duffey and keep him from taking off on third downs, the D will be doing its job.
On the other side of the ball, Sam Ehlinger, have at it.
The Texas Tech defense has been great on third downs, and okay overall considering the offenses it’s faced, but the secondary will give up big, big yards.
Ehlinger might not have been able to pull off the win over West Virginia in the duel with Will Grier, but that’s only because he didn’t have the ball last.
He’s been fantastic, throwing for over 200 yards in every game he’s been able to get through healthy, and he’s been air-tight when it comes to limiting the mistakes – he hasn’t thrown a pick since the opener against Maryland.
It might be one of the rare times when Texas Tech will get outgunned in the passing game.
One Reason Why Texas Tech Will Win
Duffey is good.
He’s good in a different sort of way, though from most types of Texas Tech quarterbacks. He can throw, and he’s going to get the air show going from the start, but his mobility opens things up for the rest of the attack.
He’s had to deal with being the No. 2 guy all year, but this is his time to take over the offense and make it his. That includes getting the ball to his receivers and letting them do something with it.
The guy can run the Texas Tech offense.
Antoine Wesley has grown into an unstoppable force over the last three games, catching 29 passes for 473 yards and two scores. He’s got the size, he’s got the range, and he’s got a whole slew of good weapons around him to take the pressure off.
Duffey will get him the ball.
As good as the Longhorns have been in so many ways, the secondary has been smoked for well over 300 yards in three of the last four games, and it’s not picking off enough passes to make up for the issues.
After coming up with three interceptions against TCU, the Longhorns have come up with just two over the last five games.
What’s Going To Happen
After losing two straight, Texas will get its groove back on the road.
It’ll be able to wing it around, but it’ll pound away a bit, too. Texas Tech might be great at controlling the clock and the tempo, but Texas will move the chains, too.
It’s the final home game of the season for Texas Tech – and it’ll get bowl eligible either next week against Kansas State or in the finale against Baylor – but the Longhorns are trying to get back on a winning track, and they’ll do it in their third straight firefight.
And it won’t come down to the final possession.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Texas 40, Texas Tech 34
Line: Texas -2, o/u: 62
ATS Confidence out of 5: 4
Must See Rating: 4
5: Watergate (on History Channel)
1: 52nd CMA Awards