What ten games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into the first weekend of Week 12? Here you go. Enjoy.
All The Week 12 Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
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– Ten Best Point Total Over/Under Picks
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– Six Biggest Upset Alert Picks
– Week 13 Schedule, Lines, Gametimes
Final Thoughts, Investment Advice: Big Ten | SEC
10 Best ATS Picks So Far: 63-58-1
Starting with a few that didn’t quite make the cut, but are still spicy …
Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.
10. Rice at LSU
LINE: LSU -42, o/u: 52
ATS PICK: Rice
It’s the theme of the week – teams with rest-up games against paycheck cupcake teams getting a billion points. In theory, always take 40 points or more if you can get them, because way too many things have to happen for the favorite to get there.
It only takes a few scores from the underdog to cover, and whether it was Rutgers +39 against Michigan last week (42-7 Wolverines), or Alabama giving away 49 to Louisiana (56-14 Crimson Tide), over the long haul, even if it goes against everything you know and believe … go with the team up 42-0 walking into the building.
Rice is the worst FBS team this season and will struggle to get on the board. But all it might take is just one score to do this. LSU isn’t about to rub it in, even on Senior Day – it beat SE Louisiana 31-0 early in the season.
There are no FBS vs. FCS games in this weekly top ten, but if you can get The Citadel +51 against Alabama or Idaho +39.5 against Florida, go for it.
LINE: Georgia -41.5, o/u: 66.5
ATS PICK: UMass
Everything written for Rice-LSU, put that here.
Of course Georgia could and should annihilate UMass by 50, just like LSU could and should beat Rice 52-0. Again, this is about the “in general” idea of giving away that many points to anyone.
Georgia whacked Austin Peay 45-0 to start the season, and the concern here is that this becomes the Justin Fields game, as the Bulldog twos come out with a purpose and destroy a UMass team that doesn’t play defense.
However, the Minutemen to have enough of an offense to score at least 14 points, and that might be enough considering the Dawgs have to be ready for Georgia Tech next and Alabama to follow.
LINE: Washington -33.5, o/u: 58.5
ATS PICK: Oregon State
Sticking with the theme of the week, only not quite as much, Washington is coming off a break, and it needs this win to set up a showdown against Washington State for the Pac-12 North title. There are a whole lot of reasons to worry about the Huskies cranking the intensity up a few notches, but this team just doesn’t seem to have that gear this year.
Oregon State is awful, but even when it gave up 56 points to Washington State, it lost by 19. Stanford hung up 48 last week, and the Beavers lost by 31. Cal was able to win 49-7, so Oregon State getting shut down to a dead stop by the rested Dawg D isn’t crazy, but still … Washington can win in a walk, and still not cover.
LINE: East Carolina -16.5, o/u: 69.5
ATS PICK: UConn
Last week was all about the favorites. The underdogs are rolling this week – we hope.
UConn is awful. If Rice isn’t the worst team in the FBS world, it’s this Huskies squad that struggled to beat Rhode Island, but that’s been it.
The worry here is the 49-19 loss to a punchless Tulsa team on the road two weeks ago. However, the ugly blowouts this year have been to teams that could and should do that, like UCF, Boise State, and Syracuse.
East Carolina has has scored 20 points or fewer in four of its last five games, and five of its last seven. Even against a defenseless Houston team, the Pirates only put up 20 points. Meanwhile the D has been awful – at least up until last week’s 24-18 loss to Tulane.
ECU is a whole lot better than UConn, but 16.5 are too many for this team to give away to anyone.
Okay … enough with the underdog world …
LINE: Iowa -14.5, o/u: 58.5
ATS PICK: Iowa
There are a few warning signs here. It’s Senior Day in Champaign, and the 4-6 team needs this to keep bowl hopes alive.
The Illinois running game went off on Minnesota for 55 points a few weeks ago, and it cranked up 35 on Nebraska last week … and lost by 19.
Iowa has nothing to play for – it’s bowl eligible – but after losing three straight, yeah, it’s going to care.
And it has the nation’s sixth-best run defense against a team that can’t throw.
The Hawkeyes have allowed 16 points or fewer in six games this year, and even when they gave up 31 to Minnesota, they won by 17 on the road.