South Carolina vs. Florida fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, November 10
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
South Carolina (5-3) vs. Florida (6-3) Game Preview
One Reason Why South Carolina Will Win
The Gamecocks have figured out how to win close games.
Florida is great at slugging it out a little bit, and it likes to muck it up and keep things tight, but each of USC’s last four games have been decided by four points or fewer – 12 points total.
The key is getting Jake Bentley hot early.
The veteran Gamecock passer kept up with Ole Miss, coming through in the clutch with a 363-yard, two-score day. He might be a bit erratic, but for the most part, he’s good for at least 250 yards and has a proven knack for coming through when things get tight.
Florida might have a terrific secondary, but it’s been picked apart over the last two games, with Jake Fromm and Georgia hitting over 70% of his passes with three scores and Drew Lock on fire last week in Missouri’s stunning win.
Bentley needs to connect on everything, and he has to take advantage of his opportunities, because …
One Reason Why Florida Will Win
The offense just never seems to have the ball.
USC is able to move the chains, and the offense isn’t bad at coming up with yards when it needs them, but it’s dead last in the SEC in time of possession, holding on to the ball for just over 25 minutes a game.
The Gators don’t do enough to control games and the clock, but it loves to try grinding out games. At home, they have to make this easy and pound away with the ground attack against a mediocre Gamecock run defense.
They have to own third downs, generate more defensive pressure, and they have to dominate the turnover margin.
Duh, everyone needs to do that, but they’ve been an ugly -5 over the last three games after being +10 over the first four games. South Carolina? Its D just doesn’t take the ball away, with just one in the last three games.
What’s Going To Happen
This is a strange South Carolina team under Will Muschamp.
See if this sounds familiar, Gator fans.
The team isn’t awesome at any one thing, it makes big things happen at the right times, and it somehow wins games, even though it doesn’t do it the same way two weeks in a row.
But what have we learned about South Carolina? It seems to have problems with the power teams with the good lines. Georgia is good at everything – it’s great up front when it wants to be – and Kentucky and Texas A&M had the right formula.
The Gamecocks got by the big passing teams – Missouri, Ole Miss, and to a certain extent, Vanderbilt weren’t able to beat them.
Florida will keep this simple. It’ll get physical, pound away with the running game, and at home, the slide stops here.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Florida 27, South Carolina 23
Line: Florida -6.5, o/u: 54
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5
Must See Rating: 3
5: Watergate (on History Channel)
1: 52nd CMA Awards