After Week 12 of the season, what’s the Path to the College Football Playoff for the ten teams still alive for the four spots?
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Who’s Out After Week 12?
West Virginia, after losing to Oklahoma State
Group of Five: American Athletic Conference
The Path to the College Football Playoff: The Knights did their part on national TV, whacking around Cincinnati with an impressive performance on both sides of the ball. The program hasn’t lost a game since the 2016 season, and now it’s a win over USF away from going to the American Athletic Conference championship with a chance at a second straight perfect regular season.
What Will Happen: The Knights are going to roll through USF, and then they’ll have to deal with a fired up West team to take the American Athletic. But even with some movement up top, the Knights will hit a hard ceiling to finish just outside of the top four. They’ll get close, but not quite.
ACC & Notre Dame
The Path to the College Football Playoff: The Tigers did their part to keep this all going with a workmanlike win over Duke. Beat South Carolina and take down Pitt in the ACC title game, and they’re no worse than the No. 2 seed. Even if they lose one of the last two, as long as they don’t get rolled, they’re still very, very close to getting in as the No. 4 seed.
What Will Happen: The Pitt running game will be annoying, and South Carolina will bring the A game, but it won’t be enough. Clemson finishes 13-0 and goes off to the Orange Bowl as the two-seed.
Notre Dame (11-0)
The Path to the College Football Playoff: And now it’s easy. There’s obviously no conference title game to play for, so beat USC, get into the College Football Playoff. The issue now is the Trojan collapse. Now, a loss means 11-1 likely knocks the Irish out.
What Will Happen: In. The Syracuse game ended as soon as Eric Dungey was knocked out, and now it’s a one game season. USC is reeling too much, and Notre Dame is playing too well, to blow it. It’ll get in as the No. 3 seed going against Clemson in the Orange Bowl.