After Week 11 of the season, what’s the Path to the College Football Playoff for the ten teams still alive for the four spots?
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Who’s Out After Week 11?
No one …
Everyone stayed alive with a Chalk Saturday. All ten teams that were alive last week are still alive this week. Here’s what each team has to do to stay alive and get into the party.
Group of Five: American Athletic Conference
The Path to the College Football Playoff: The Knights can’t catch a break, because no one big is losing. To have a shot, they need to win out against Cincinnati, USF, and in the American Athletic title, and then hope for championship chaos.
They need Northwestern to take the Big Ten title, and the Coastal to win the ACC, and for Washington State to lose again, and for a two-loss Big 12 championship, and for Notre Dame to lose. And even then …
What Will Happen: The Knights aren’t going to blow it against Cincinnati or at USF, but they’ll be in for a firefight in the American Athletic title game against wither SMU, Houston or Tulane. They’ll win, go 12-0, and finish up in the top six – but not the top four – in the final rankings.
ACC & Notre Dame
The Path to the College Football Playoff: Just win out, and get the No. 2 seed at absolute worst. Beat Duke, get past South Carolina, and then take down Pitt or Virginia in the ACC title game.
Or, even if the Tigers lose a game, at 12-1 they might be so strong at this point that they’d likely get the nod over a 12-0 UCF and even a 12-1 Ohio State if its the Big Ten champ. However, that’s rolling the dice considering how bad the ACC has been.
What Will Happen: The Tigers will keep this all going at home. They’ll get a wee bit of a scare against either Duke or South Carolina, but they’ll finish 13-0 and be the No. 2 see in the College Football Playoff, going to the Orange Bowl.
– Clemson 27, Boston College 7
Notre Dame (10-0)
The Path to the College Football Playoff: It all keeps on rolling. No starting quarterback? Whatever. The Irish rolled through Florida State, and now all they have to do is beat Syracuse in Yankee Stadium and take down USC in LA, and they’re in at the three-seed. If they lose, though, they’re out.
What Will Happen: They’re going to get it done. Syracuse is going to be a big-time battle against a team playing with house money, and USC is a mess – that might be a job-saver moment for Clay Helton. Notre Dame could absolutely lose to either one, but it won’t.
– Notre Dame 42, Florida State 13