After Week 10 of the season, what’s the Path to the College Football Playoff for the ten teams still alive for the four spots?
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Who’s Out After Week 10?
The realistically available teams for the four College Football Playoff spots are starting to dwindle with two more teams – Kentucky and LSU – knocked out of the mix. To cliché, every game counts – more than ever.
Here’s what each team has to do to stay alive and get into the party.
Group of Five: American Athletic Conference
The Path to the College Football Playoff: Keep on winning, and hope other key parts keep on dropping. Going 12-0 with an American Athletic title is an obvious must, and it wouldn’t be a bad thing if Pitt – the lone good win on the slate – keeps on looking strong.
Realistically, it’s going to take a total meltdown for it to happen. There has to be multiple-loss champs in at least two of the Power Five conferences – one of them can’t be the SEC – and Notre Dame has to lose. Even then, it’s going to be a tough sell.
What Will Happen: The schedule is just too awful. It’s a killer that USF isn’t all that great now, and Houston isn’t anything special after a big loss. There’s nothing on the resume to get exciting about, but the Knights can knock on the door. The CFP won’t let them in.
ACC & Notre Dame
The Path to the College Football Playoff: 13-0 means the Tigers are no worse than No. 2 in the CFP pecking order. At this point, even 12-1 with an ACC title gets it done, but there will be a debate. The play has been so dominant that one loss should overcome the mediocre ACC.
What Will Happen: The Tigers will roll through Boston College, Duke, South Carolina, and whatever emerges from the Coastal to be the No. 2 seed with a date in the Orange Bowl.
Notre Dame (9-0)
The Path to the College Football Playoff: Michigan’s dominance now all but ends any debatable talking points – an unbeaten Notre Dame will get in. Beating the Wolverines in the opener is the best win by anyone so far this year, and there will be just enough good wins to earn no worse than a No. 3 spot by going 12-0.
What Will Happen: There’s going to be a loss somewhere along the way in the final three games. The Irish survived the trip to Northwestern, but going to Yankee Stadium to face Syracuse will be dangerous. The trip to USC will be harder than you think, and be careful of a Florida State team this week with a good passing game and almost nothing to lose.