Oregon vs. Oregon State fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Friday, November 23
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
Oregon (7-4) vs. Oregon State (2-9) Game Preview
One Reason Why Oregon Will Win
There’s still plenty of push for in the Pac-12 bowl pecking order.
Of course, beating Oregon State would be enough of a reward for the Ducks, but depending on how things shake out, there’s a chance to move up and get more respect with a blowout win.
The Ducks should be able to move the ball however they want to.
The Oregon State offense might have some pop, but the defense continues to have issues with sharp passers. Washington’s Jake Browning isn’t exactly Drew Brees when it comes to accuracy, but he was able to connect on 72% of his throws last week and moved the offense at will.
Justin Herbert will get time to work, and needs to take advantage of his chances. The Ducks will spend the game running as much as possible, but Herbert should be able to connect on 60% of his throws for about nine yards per attempt.
As long as he does that and doesn’t turn the ball over. Oregon will have an easy late afternoon agains one of the nation’s least productive secondaries.
One Reason Why Oregon State Will Win
Keep the ball as long as humanly possible.
The defense might be a disaster, and it might give up big plays and quick scores against the Oregon O that likes to keep up the tempo, but the Beavers have enough of a ground game to control the game throughout.
Oregon doesn’t do much with the time of possession battle. That didn’t matter when the offense was crushing and killing over the years, but with the O not as potent now, that matters. Oregon State does a whole slew of things wrong, but it can control the clock and the pace.
OSU also has to hope for Oregon to screw up time and again, and the O has to take advantage of every opportunity. The Ducks survived, but they got hit with four turnovers last week against Arizona State, and they’ve lost multiple turnovers five times on the season.
Oregon is 1-3 when losing the turnover margin this year. The Beavers have to be at least +2 to keep this in range.
What’s Going To Happen
The Beavers will be game for a while, but Oregon will be relentless with the scoring.
It’ll be close for a half, but the Duck balance will be too much in the second half, while the defensive side takes care of things with big plays in the backfield on a regular basis.
It’ll be a high-scoring shootout that won’t be the 69-10 wipeout of last year, but it’ll be emphatic Oregon win. It’ll just take a little bit to get there.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Oregon 44, Oregon State 24
Line: Oregon -17.5, o/u: 69
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Must See Rating: 2.5
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