Oklahoma vs. West Virginia fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Friday, November 23
Game Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, WV
Oklahoma (10-1) vs. West Virginia (8-2) Game Preview
One Reason Why Oklahoma Will Win
West Virginia is having big problems with accurate passers.
Of course this is going to be a shootout on both sides, but the Mountaineers are about to deal with an offense that’s just a half-click stronger and better than Oklahoma State and Texas.
When Iowa State and Brock Purdy rolled for 72% on their passes with three scores, West Virginia got rolled.
When Texas and Sam Ehlinger went off for close to 70% completion and three touchdowns, it took an amazing finish for the Mountaineers to get out alive. And last week, Oklahoma State and Taylor Cornelius went off for five touchdowns.
And now, welcome to Kyler Murray.
He only threw for 272 yards against Kansas, but Murray is still hitting 70% of his throws for overall and the Sooners are averaging close to 12 yards per passing attempt.
Can the Mountaineer pass defense be trusted enough in key moments? It hasn’t been able to come through lately, and now, with the Big 12 title spot possibly on the line, Murray is the best player on the field.
One Reason Why West Virginia Will Win
Okay, Will Grier. You’ve already cranked up a few legendary performances for the program, but this is it.
He’s thrown for 332 yards or more in every game this year except for the loss to Iowa State, and he’s about to take target practice.
Yeah, the West Virginia defense is shaky? Welcome to the Oklahoma Sooners.
They were able to stuff Kansas State, but everyone else is having a whole lot of fun. Having problems with Texas Tech and Oklahoma State is one thing, but not being able to contain Pooka Williams and the Kansas running game last week?
The Sooner secondary is getting shelled, it hasn’t come up with an interception in the last four games, and has just one in the last seven games. This is Grier’s moment, and he’s got the team around him to work with to put up close to 400 yards and keep up the pace.
What’s Going To Happen
Call this the Big 12 Championship semi-final.
Texas plays Kansas earlier in the day. If the Longhorns somehow lose, this game will take on a totally different tone – neither side will want to show quite as much.
Oklahoma will still be fighting for the College Football Playoff, and West Virginia will still care, but a UT loss means the two will meet next week for real. However, Texas is probably going to win, and then the intensity will be at a whole other level.
Assuming a Longhorn win, the winner is in the Big 12 Championship, and the loser is out.
If you dug the whole Chiefs-Rams thing, get ready for the college version.
Both quarterbacks are going to be brilliant, and both offenses will be amazing. But this is where the Oklahoma defense finally lets Murray down. He’s been able to do just about everything possible to make up for the issues, but his D doesn’t have a pass rush, and Grier’s does.
Last team with the ball wins in one of the best games of the college football season.
Fearless Prediction & Line
West Virginia 52, Oklahoma 48
Line: Oklahoma -2.5, o/u: 84
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Must See Rating: 5
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