Oklahoma State vs. TCU fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, November 24
Game Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Oklahoma State (6-5) vs. TCU (5-6) Game Preview
One Reason Why Oklahoma State Will Win
Get the offense moving. Score early, put it away, and move on to the bowl world.
The Cowboys might only have six wins, but they proved they could hang with the big dogs in the Big 12, pushing Texas in a fun win, hanging around with Oklahoma in a brutal loss, and last week ruling West Virginia’s College Football Playoff hopes.
The defense has been painfully inconsistent, and losing four games in five weeks hurt, but the O got the job done. QB Taylor Cornelius has been on fire, with three 300-yard games in the last four weeks, with a 501-yard performance against Oklahoma, followed up by a five touchdown day against West Virginia.
TCU lost its offensive mojo weeks ago. It’s turning the ball over too often, and there’s no running game, so if there’s not a big play here or there, and a brilliant game from the defense, it has no chance.
One Reason Why TCU Will Win
The secondary has held on, for the most part.
West Virginia’s Will Grier went off, and Ohio State’s Dwayne Haskins mounted a big comeback, but the Horned Frogs have the Big 12’s No. 1 pass defense. That’s saying too much – the corners are still able to get toasted a bit too often – but the Gary Patterson D has held its own when needed.
With the season slipping away, the D stepped up, stuffing Baylor last week and holding down Kansas State to just 13 points. It’s been a disappointing season, but in the regular season finale in Fort Worth, can Patterson get his team up for that one game it needs to go bowling?
If the Oklahoma State offense that was so off at Kansas State and couldn’t get the job down at Baylor sputters, it’s possible. The Cowboys are just 1-3 on the road this season – with the win coming at Kansas. They just aren’t the same outside of Boone-Pickens.
What’s Going To Happen
TCU will get the job done thanks to the turnover margin.
Oklahoma State’s defense doesn’t take the ball away, forcing just two turnovers in the last five games and going a -6 over the stretch. TCU went +2 against Kansas State, +3 against Baylor, and going to manage to bring down the Cowboys down to its level.
It won’t be anything pretty with third-string QB Grayson Muehlstein under center, but the Horned Frog defense will be the Horned Frog defense when it absolutely has to be, all thanks to a massive day from the pass rush that will get to Cornelius – and the Justice Hill-less backfield; he’s out hurt – enough to get bowl eligible.
Fearless Prediction & Line
TCU 23, Oklahoma State 20
Line: Oklahoma State -5, o/u: 56.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1
Must See Rating: 2.5
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