What will the College Football Playoff rankings be in the fourth unveiling on Tuesday night?
Remember, last week’s rankings don’t exist anymore. The committee throws them out and starts from scratch going pick by pick, slot by slot.
So what will they be? Here’s the best guess for what the third round of College Football Playoff rankings will be on Tuesday night.
25. Iowa Hawkeyes 7-4 (NR)
After losing three straight, Iowa woke back up and destroyed Illinois on the road 63-0. In the CFP Top 25 until last week’s loss to Northwestern, it still has a win over Iowa State to boost things up a bit, the win over Northern Illinois is good in the metrics, and the 23-0 win over Maryland looks stronger now.
24. NC State Wolfpack 7-3 (NR)
Who doesn’t rip up Louisville by 42? Yeah, it was an easy blowout win, but in a week that’s missing a slew of options for the bottom of the rankings, the Pack should slide back in. The Wake Forest loss still sings, but losing at Clemson and Syracuse still isn’t bad.
23. Fresno State Bulldogs 9-2 (23)
The 23-14 win over San Diego State now becomes the team’s best win – and its only real win. The UCLA blowout a few months ago seems great now, but after the loss to Boise State on the road, the team rebounded. It’ll show in the rankings.
22. Boise State Broncos 9-2 (25)
The win over Fresno State last week got the Broncos into the top 25, and the 45-14 win over New Mexico will move the team on up. There’s not a lot else for the committee to care about – the Nevada and Troy wins have to count, but the blowout over the Lobos looked strong.
21. Utah State Aggies 10-1 (23)
This is sort of a test – 10-1 shouldn’t matter; the team shouldn’t be ranked this high. Did the committee actually watch the game against Colorado State? The Rams are absolutely miserable, but the Aggies still almost lost in a too-tight battle – they caught a break on a Hail Mary that was nullified on a penalty. The Aggies still haven’t beaten a team that’s bowl eligible.