You’ve Read This Far, So You Get Three Honest Thoughts On The Big 12 Championship
– Yeah, there’s a beauty contest aspect to this. Somewhere in Oklahoma’s mind, it has to think it’s starting this game down 14. Of course winning the Big 12 Championship is the focus, but if this is another close game, the CFP door is left open for Ohio State to kick it in with a 59-0 stomping.
At the very least, the Sooner defense has to show something – anything – to take away an excuse the committee might have for bumping up the Buckeyes.
– Okay Keontay Ingram. Let’s go. The Texas freshman running back hasn’t been a workhorse yet, but he’s averaging over five yards per carry since getting steady work over the back half of the season.
Of course there’s an element of tempo to this game that matters, even against a team that can strike in a hiccup like the Sooners can. Texas leads the Big 12 in time of possession, and in Dallas, it’s the ground game that has to help keep the ball for well over 35 minutes.
– It’s Tom Herman as an underdog. Famously, he went 5-0 at Houston when his teams weren’t favored, and his Texas team rocked USC last season to get to 6-0 outright as the underdog before losing to Oklahoma. But now, he’s becoming legendary in the investment community when he isn’t favored going 12-1 against the spread and 9-4 straight up.
Super. So Who’s Going To Win The Big 12 Championship?
Oklahoma has been playing with fire throughout the second half of the season.
It had to hold on for dear life in the 48-47 win over Oklahoma State, it struggled a wee bit too much against Kansas – but not that much – and it survived the 59-56 firefight at West Virginia last week.
Of course this matters to Herman, and of course winning the Big 12 title means everything, and of course beating the hated rival a second time would be fantastic.
But Texas is playing with house money right now, and Oklahoma has the world on the line.
The Longhorns might not be consistent, but the lines are going to be just physical enough to be a factor. Getting a pass rush doesn’t matter all that much against Murray, but the pressure will be just enough to be a wee bit of a problem.
Texas will play loose, it’ll come out with the right energy, and it’ll hold on to the ball for what will seem like most of the game. The Longhorns win the turnover battle, they survive a mid-game OU scoring run, and they win by running for 300 yards.
After all of this in a crazy Big 12 season, the team with the defense will be the conference champ.
Fearless Prediction & Line
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