Baylor vs. Texas Tech fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, November 24
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Baylor (5-6) vs. Texas Tech (5-6) Game Preview
One Reason Why Baylor Will Win
Does Texas Tech have a quarterback?
Alan Bowman is sort of back after suffering a partially collapsed lung, but no. Jett Duffey is in a walking boot, and McLane Carter got hit with an ankle sprain in the clunker of a 21-6 loss to Kansas State.
Baylor’s pass defense hasn’t been all that bad, but considering its offensive inconsistencies, it could use all the help it can get. But if there was going to be a week to turn the passing attack loose, this would be it.
The Red Raiders already had a miserable pass defense, and then even Kansas State was able to come up with 213 yards last week. Coming off a miserable game against TCU, get ready for Charlie Brewer to finally have another strong performance.
Really, really off over the last month, he threw for 288 yards in a nice game against Iowa State, but was too indecisive and missed too many plays against K-State.
250 yards and two scores – that has to be the baseline against this secondary.
One Reason Why Texas Tech Will Win
Baylor doesn’t seem to like to score.
It has a few decent receiving weapons, Brewer isn’t that bad, and there’s even an occasional rushing yard or three. But the offense falls way too flat way too often, and it’s a disaster inside the red zone.
Even with the problems at quarterback, Texas Tech has the pop and firepower to get it back in hurry. There’s little Baylor pass rush to worry about, and there’s absolutely no concerns about giving the ball away to a defense that has just one takeaway in the last four games.
But the issue is the offense.
You can’t win in the Big 12 if you can’t score, and Baylor has struggled to crank up more than 17 points in the last month. In this ugly run of four losses in the last five games, the O couldn’t get going against West Virginia – who’s giving up 30 points getting out of bed – and just can’t seem to come through with any sort of a clutch score.
If the Red Raider quarterback situation is at least mediocre, that should be enough to crank up enough to put this away. Yeah, the Tech D is bad, but it’s been able to hold its own against the lousy Os.
What’s Going To Happen
Both teams were so awful last week that they’ve created a fun and tension-packed battle with the winner going bowling and the winner done with this whole college football thing for the 2018 season.
Texas Tech has lost four straight, but it has an excuse – facing three strong Big 12 teams and then having quarterback issues. Baylor just isn’t playing well enough.
For the second straight year, the Red Raiders avoid a disaster by getting bowl eligible in the regular season finale. It might not be gorgeous, and it might not be the shootout it probably should be if both teams were humming, but after the last month, Kliff Kingsbury will take it.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Texas Tech 30, Baylor 17
Line: Texas Tech -6, o/u: 65
ATS Confidence out of 5: 4
Must See Rating: 2.5
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