Auburn vs. Georgia fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, November 10
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
Auburn (6-3) vs. Georgia (8-1) Game Preview
One Reason Why Auburn Will Win
Is this when Jarrett Stidham gets to be Jarrett Stidham?
The Auburn running game has been mediocre throughout the season – but it’s hardly been bad. The O line hasn’t been able to dominate enough, and the offense has sputtered.
But just when it seemed like the season was about to go into the abyss with Texas A&M controlling the game late last week, Stidham took over the game, finishing with 239 yards and two touchdowns in a thrilling win.
He has to be amazing.
Auburn doesn’t have anything to lose. With the win over Texas A&M, the Tigers are bowl eligible, and everything in the SEC world is set up. Alabama is off to the SEC Championship from the West, and the East is ready to go with Georgia off to Atlanta.
Is there a chance that the Dawgs let up just a wee bit? Of course, there’s no margin for error and they’re pushing to stay in the mix for the College Football Playoff, but the intensity still has to be there.
The Auburn defensive front is the real deal, and it’s good enough to keep this game close. And then it’s up to Stidham – who threw three touchdown passes in the win over the Dawgs in the first game last year, and was under siege in the SEC Championship – to make this game his.
One Reason Why Georgia Will Win
Yeah, Stidham came through against the Aggies, but the offense is still the second-worst in the SEC, and the passing game is still the worst in the league at taking its shots down the field.
Stidham is very good, but testing this Bulldog secondary isn’t a good thing.
No, Georgia isn’t taking the ball away – how does this group only have one pick in the last five games? – good passers are having hard time getting anything consistently going.
Stidham might need to be big, but on the other side, Jake Fromm just keeps on being Jake Fromm, connecting on 70% or more of his passes in the last two games and seven times in the nine games on the season. He doesn’t have to throw for 250 yards, but he needs to complete the short-to-midrange throws, and he has to keep things moving.
As great as the Auburn defense has been at times, it hasn’t been great at stopping teams on third downs. It’s 6-0 when keeping teams from converting 40% of their third down tries, and 0-3 when allowing more.
Georgia has connected on its third down tries at a 54+% clip in four of the last five games, and the only time it didn’t was in the loss to LSU.
What’s Going To Happen
Georgia is about to be in for a fight.
Auburn will get the offense going from the start and will hang around all game long, but Georgia will rise up in the second half, come up with a few key defensive stops, and get out with a tough win to keep on moving forward.
In the end, when needed, the Tiger offense will bog down, and the Dawg O will march for scores.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Georgia 30, Auburn 24
Line: Georgia -14, o/u: 50
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Must See Rating: 4
5: Watergate (on History Channel)
1: 52nd CMA Awards