Arkansas vs. Missouri fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Friday, November 23
Game Time: 2:30 ET
Venue: Faurot Field, Columbia, MO
Arkansas (2-9) vs. Missouri (7-4) Game Preview
One Reason Why Arkansas Will Win
It’s the final game of the year for the Hogs, and they’re going to have to turn the pass rush loose to make this a game.
Mizzou is great in pass protection, and the Hogs weren’t able to come up with a sack against Mississippi State last week, but the D has been generally good for around three sacks a game – it has to bother Drew Lock from the start.
The Tigers might be playing well overall, but they’re not generating takeaways. Turnover margin has been a big, big issue for Arkansas – a -9 on the year and failing to be on the plus side over the last six games.
What happens if Arkansas is merely even? It beats Tulsa, hangs with Ole Miss in a tight battle, and as a +1, it gave Texas A&M a game in a 24-17 loss.
Go -2 or worse, and bad things happen. Mizzou has been just a +2 once.
One Reason Why Missouri Will Win
Very, very, very, very, unfairly quietly, Missouri has been magnificent.
It had the one late, painful, untimed down loss to Kentucky, but other than that, it has won four of its last five games, wasn’t miserable against Georgia, and is going bowling with room to spare.
The defense is coming up with third down stop after third down stop, it’s been great against the run, and it’s holding serve so that Drew Lock and company can do their thing.
Lock has hit 70% or more of his passes in three of the last five games with 250 yards or more in four of the last five. He’s on, Larry Rountree is coming off a 135-yard rushing game against Tennessee, and the team is playing efficiently and effectively.
Against an Arkansas defense that doesn’t make nearly enough plays when the ball is in the air, and struggles too much against the run, the Tigers should be able to do just about anything they want to.
What’s Going To Happen
Arkansas will open up the offense after not being able to do much of anything in the 52-6 loss to Mississippi State, but it’s not going to be nearly enough.
Lock and the Mizzou offense will get up in the second quarter, and then will hold serve the rest of the way. The Hogs might hit on a few home runs to make the Tigers keep trying, but it won’t matter.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Missouri 48, Arkansas 31
Line: Missouri -21, o/u: 62.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Must See Rating: 2.5
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